Football · Luxembourg Division Nationale · 25/10, 16:00

Prediction: FC 03 Differdange vs F91 Dudelange

Team pages: FC 03 Differdange · F91 Dudelange

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.01Total

FC 03 Differdange2.02

F91 Dudelange0.99

1X2

61% 21% 18%

FC 03 Differdange Draw F91 Dudelange

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 65% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FC 03 Differdange 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWWWWW

F91 Dudelange 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWWLDLWW

Head-to-head

FC 03 Differdange 3–3–0 F91 Dudelange (6 last)

FC 03 Differdange2-0F91 Dudelange
F91 Dudelange0-0FC 03 Differdange
FC 03 Differdange2-2F91 Dudelange
FC 03 Differdange1-1F91 Dudelange
F91 Dudelange0-1FC 03 Differdange
FC 03 Differdange3-0F91 Dudelange

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC 03 Differdange 1611 · F91 Dudelange 1479

	FC 03 Differdange	Draw	F91 Dudelange
Our model	60%	23%	17%
Market	62%	19%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.01 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC 03 Differdange (rating 1611 vs 1479).
H2H favours FC 03 Differdange: 3-3-0.
High corners: 14.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC 03 Differdange	F91 Dudelange
Goals for / against (FT)	3 / 0.8	1.6 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 9.2	3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	6.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.44

X4.75

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.98

2 (+1.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44
X	4.75 → 4.75	Pinn 4.96
2	4.75 → 4.75	Pinn 7.53 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
18:38 +5’	1.44	4.75	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:04 +99’	1.32	4.96	7.53

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC 03 Differdange 3–3–0 F91 Dudelange

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
01/07/26 Europe Friendlies	FC 03 Differdange	2-0 HT 0-0	F91 Dudelange
22/03/26 Luxembourg Division Nationale	F91 Dudelange	0-0 HT 0-0	FC 03 Differdange
28/09/25 Luxembourg Division Nationale	FC 03 Differdange	2-2 HT 0-0	F91 Dudelange
28/05/25 Luxembourg Cup	FC 03 Differdange	1-1 HT 0-1	F91 Dudelange
15/02/25 Luxembourg Division Nationale	F91 Dudelange	0-1 HT 0-1	FC 03 Differdange
18/08/24 Luxembourg Division Nationale	FC 03 Differdange	3-0 HT 2-0	F91 Dudelange

Standings · Luxembourg Division Nationale

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	UNA Strassen	10	9	1	0	20	3	28
2	FC 03 Differdange	10	9	0	1	30	8	27
3	US Mondorf-Les-Bains	10	8	0	2	22	13	24
4	UN Kaerjeng	10	7	0	3	29	17	21
5	Union Luxembourg	10	5	4	1	24	11	19
6	Bissen	10	6	1	3	25	14	19
7	Progres Niedercorn	11	6	1	4	16	9	19
8	Residence Walferdange	10	5	1	4	19	19	16
9	F91 Dudelange	10	4	1	5	16	16	13
10	US Hostert	10	3	2	5	15	18	11
11	Jeunesse Esch	10	3	1	6	16	21	10
12	Victoria Rosport	10	2	2	6	17	25	8
13	FC Etzella Ettelbruck	11	2	2	7	9	19	8
14	Rumelange	10	2	1	7	12	28	7
15	Wiltz	10	1	1	8	15	28	4
16	Swift Hesperange	10	0	0	10	2	38	-12

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC 03 Differdange	F91 Dudelange
Swift Hesperange	3-0 W	5-0 W
FC Etzella Ettelbruck	1-0 W	3-1 W
UN Kaerjeng	4-1 W	2-4 L
US Hostert	2-0 W	0-0 D
Union Luxembourg	3-0 W	1-3 L
Wiltz	2-1 W	2-1 W
Rumelange	2-0 W	3-2 W
US Mondorf-Les-Bains	2-3 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	7 W 0 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC 03 Differdange (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC 03 Differdange

LWWWWWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Victoria Rosport Luxembourg Division Nationale	2-1	5-3	4	7	W
11/10	Residence Walferdange Luxembourg Division Nationale	2-0	6-0	5	3	W
16/09	Swift Hesperange Luxembourg Division Nationale	2-0	3-0	20	1	W
12/09	FC Etzella Ettelbruck Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-0	1-0	9	7	W
06/09	UN Kaerjeng Luxembourg Division Nationale	2-0	4-1	6	3	W
30/08	US Hostert Luxembourg Division Nationale	2-0	2-0	11	2	W
23/08	Union Luxembourg Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
15/08	Wiltz Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
09/08	Rumelange Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
02/08	US Mondorf-Les-Bains Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-2	2-3	–	–	L

F91 Dudelange

LLLWWLDLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Swift Hesperange Luxembourg Division Nationale	2-0	5-0	4	3	W
11/10	FC Etzella Ettelbruck Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-1	3-1	4	9	W
16/09	UN Kaerjeng Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-2	2-4	6	5	L
12/09	US Hostert Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	0-0	3	8	D
06/09	Union Luxembourg Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	1-3	7	7	L
30/08	Wiltz Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-0	2-1	6	9	W
23/08	Rumelange Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-1	3-2	–	–	W
16/08	US Mondorf-Les-Bains Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
09/08	UNA Strassen Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
04/08	Bissen Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC 03 Differdange vs F91 Dudelange?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC 03 Differdange win (61%). Probabilities: FC 03 Differdange 61%, draw 21%, F91 Dudelange 18%.

How many goals are expected in FC 03 Differdange vs F91 Dudelange?

The model expects 3.01 goals (FC 03 Differdange 2.02 · F91 Dudelange 0.99), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC 03 Differdange vs F91 Dudelange?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.