Football · Luxembourg Division Nationale · 30/08, 18:00

Prediction: UNA Strassen vs Bissen

Team pages: UNA Strassen · Bissen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.8Total

UNA Strassen1.62

Bissen1.19

1X2

47% 26% 27%

UNA Strassen Draw Bissen

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

UNA Strassen 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

LWDWDDWWWW

Bissen 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWWWWWLW

Head-to-head

UNA Strassen 0–1–1 Bissen (2 last)

UNA Strassen3-3Bissen
Bissen3-1UNA Strassen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UNA Strassen 1573 · Bissen 1554

	UNA Strassen	Draw	Bissen
Our model	46%	27%	27%
Market	47%	26%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	UNA Strassen	Bissen
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.3	2.5 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.2	1.2 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 4.2	1.8 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.2	5.1 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.50

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Pinn 2.06 ★
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
21:13 +3’	1.91	3.50	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:07 +9’	2.06	3.38	3.21

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · UNA Strassen 0–1–1 Bissen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Luxembourg Division Nationale	UNA Strassen	3-3 HT 1-1	Bissen
28/09/25 Luxembourg Division Nationale	Bissen	3-1 HT 2-0	UNA Strassen

Standings · Luxembourg Division Nationale

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	UNA Strassen	4	4	0	0	8	0	12
2	US Mondorf-Les-Bains	4	4	0	0	10	5	12
3	Union Luxembourg	4	3	0	1	11	4	9
4	FC 03 Differdange	4	3	0	1	9	4	9
5	Progres Niedercorn	4	3	0	1	7	2	9
6	Bissen	4	3	0	1	6	5	9
7	US Hostert	4	2	0	2	11	8	6
8	Residence Walferdange	4	2	0	2	6	6	6
9	Rumelange	4	2	0	2	6	7	6
10	UN Kaerjeng	4	2	0	2	7	9	6
11	Wiltz	4	1	1	2	9	9	4
12	Victoria Rosport	4	1	0	3	8	10	3
13	F91 Dudelange	4	1	0	3	3	7	3
14	FC Etzella Ettelbruck	4	0	1	3	2	8	1
15	Jeunesse Esch	4	0	0	4	2	8	0
16	Swift Hesperange	4	0	0	4	2	15	-12

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	UNA Strassen	Bissen
Progres Niedercorn	1-0 W	0-4 L
Jeunesse Esch	1-0 W	2-0 W
F91 Dudelange	2-0 W	2-0 W
FC 03 Differdange	0-0 D	1-0 W
Jeunesse Canach	2-0 W	5-0 W
FC Rodange	1-2 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Bissen (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UNA Strassen

LWDWDDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Progres Niedercorn Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
16/08	Jeunesse Esch Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
09/08	F91 Dudelange Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
04/08	Victoria Rosport Luxembourg Division Nationale	4-0	4-0	8	4	W
23/05	US Mondorf-Les-Bains Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	0-0	0	0	D
17/05	F91 Dudelange Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
10/05	Jeunesse Esch Luxembourg Division Nationale	2-0	3-0	3	7	W
03/05	FC 03 Differdange Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
26/04	Jeunesse Canach Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	2-0	6	2	W
19/04	FC Rodange Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-2	1-2	–	–	L

Bissen

WDWWWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Residence Walferdange Luxembourg Division Nationale	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
16/08	Progres Niedercorn Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	0-4	6	10	L
09/08	Jeunesse Esch Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-0	2-0	2	0	W
04/08	F91 Dudelange Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-0	2-0	7	4	W
23/05	FC 03 Differdange Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
17/05	Jeunesse Canach Luxembourg Division Nationale	2-0	5-0	5	4	W
10/05	FC Rodange Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	3-2	5	6	W
03/05	Union Luxembourg Luxembourg Division Nationale	3-0	5-0	1	5	W
26/04	FC Mamer 32 Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	2-2	6	8	D
19/04	US Hostert Luxembourg Division Nationale	3-0	3-0	2	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UNA Strassen vs Bissen?

According to our model, the most likely result is a UNA Strassen win (47%). Probabilities: UNA Strassen 47%, draw 26%, Bissen 27%.

How many goals are expected in UNA Strassen vs Bissen?

The model expects 2.8 goals (UNA Strassen 1.62 · Bissen 1.19), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in UNA Strassen vs Bissen?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.