Football · Luxembourg Division Nationale · 06/09, 16:00

Prediction: F91 Dudelange vs Union Luxembourg

Team pages: F91 Dudelange · Union Luxembourg

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.46Total

F91 Dudelange1.84

Union Luxembourg1.62

1X2

42% 25% 33%

F91 Dudelange Draw Union Luxembourg

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

F91 Dudelange 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLDWLLLWW

Union Luxembourg 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWWWLD

Head-to-head

F91 Dudelange 3–2–1 Union Luxembourg (6 last)

Union Luxembourg1-2F91 Dudelange
F91 Dudelange1-1Union Luxembourg
Union Luxembourg2-3F91 Dudelange
Union Luxembourg1-1F91 Dudelange
F91 Dudelange2-4Union Luxembourg
Union Luxembourg0-3F91 Dudelange

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · F91 Dudelange 1528 · Union Luxembourg 1529

	F91 Dudelange	Draw	Union Luxembourg
Our model	42%	24%	33%
Market	42%	26%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.46 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours F91 Dudelange: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	F91 Dudelange	Union Luxembourg
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.6	2.7 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	1.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/10/60%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.7	2.4 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.7	5.3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.50

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:01 +10’	2.15	3.50	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · F91 Dudelange 3–2–1 Union Luxembourg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/26 Luxembourg Division Nationale	Union Luxembourg	1-2 HT 1-1	F91 Dudelange
31/08/25 Luxembourg Division Nationale	F91 Dudelange	1-1 HT 0-1	Union Luxembourg
14/05/25 Luxembourg Cup	Union Luxembourg	2-3 HT 1-1	F91 Dudelange
08/03/25 Luxembourg Division Nationale	Union Luxembourg	1-1 HT 0-1	F91 Dudelange
15/09/24 Luxembourg Division Nationale	F91 Dudelange	2-4 HT 1-1	Union Luxembourg
18/02/24 Luxembourg Division Nationale	Union Luxembourg	0-3 HT 0-1	F91 Dudelange

Standings · Luxembourg Division Nationale

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	UNA Strassen	5	5	0	0	10	1	15
2	US Mondorf-Les-Bains	5	5	0	0	12	6	15
3	FC 03 Differdange	5	4	0	1	11	4	12
4	Union Luxembourg	5	3	1	1	13	6	10
5	Residence Walferdange	5	3	0	2	11	6	9
6	UN Kaerjeng	5	3	0	2	13	9	9
7	Progres Niedercorn	5	3	0	2	8	4	9
8	US Hostert	6	3	0	3	13	10	9
9	Bissen	5	3	0	2	7	7	9
10	F91 Dudelange	5	2	0	3	5	8	6
11	Rumelange	5	2	0	3	8	12	6
12	Wiltz	5	1	1	3	10	11	4
13	Victoria Rosport	6	1	1	4	10	14	4
14	Jeunesse Esch	5	1	0	4	7	10	3
15	FC Etzella Ettelbruck	5	0	1	4	2	13	1
16	Swift Hesperange	5	0	0	5	2	21	-12

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	F91 Dudelange	Union Luxembourg
Bissen	0-2 L	0-5 L
Victoria Rosport	1-2 L	2-2 D
Swift Hesperange	3-0 W	5-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Union Luxembourg (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

F91 Dudelange

WLLDWLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Wiltz Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-0	2-1	6	9	W
23/08	Rumelange Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-1	3-2	–	–	W
16/08	US Mondorf-Les-Bains Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
09/08	UNA Strassen Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
04/08	Bissen Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
23/05	Progres Niedercorn Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	4-2	2	3	W
17/05	UNA Strassen Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
10/05	UT Petange Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	0-3	8	4	L
03/05	Victoria Rosport Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
26/04	Swift Hesperange Luxembourg Division Nationale	2-0	3-0	6	5	W

Union Luxembourg

WLLWWWWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Victoria Rosport Luxembourg Division Nationale	2-1	2-2	4	3	D
23/08	FC 03 Differdange Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
16/08	Swift Hesperange Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	5-0	–	–	W
09/08	FC Etzella Ettelbruck Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
02/08	UN Kaerjeng Luxembourg Division Nationale	4-1	5-1	6	3	W
23/05	FC Rodange Luxembourg Division Nationale	2-0	6-1	4	4	W
17/05	US Hostert Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
10/05	FC Mamer 32 Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	2-3	7	10	L
03/05	Bissen Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-3	0-5	5	5	L
26/04	UN Kaerjeng Luxembourg Division Nationale	2-0	5-2	3	9	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in F91 Dudelange vs Union Luxembourg?

According to our model, the most likely result is a F91 Dudelange win (42%). Probabilities: F91 Dudelange 42%, draw 25%, Union Luxembourg 33%.

How many goals are expected in F91 Dudelange vs Union Luxembourg?

The model expects 3.46 goals (F91 Dudelange 1.84 · Union Luxembourg 1.62), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in F91 Dudelange vs Union Luxembourg?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.