Football · Luxembourg Division Nationale · 06/09, 16:00

Prediction: Bissen vs US Mondorf-Les-Bains

Team pages: Bissen · US Mondorf-Les-Bains

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.93Total

Bissen1.59

US Mondorf-Les-Bains1.33

1X2

42% 26% 31%

Bissen Draw US Mondorf-Les-Bains

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Bissen 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWWLWL

US Mondorf-Les-Bains 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWLWDWWWWW

Head-to-head

Bissen 1–2 US Mondorf-Les-Bains (3 last)

Bissen2-1US Mondorf-Les-Bains
US Mondorf-Les-Bains2-1Bissen
Bissen0-2US Mondorf-Les-Bains

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bissen 1520 · US Mondorf-Les-Bains 1572

	Bissen	Draw	US Mondorf-Les-Bains
Our model	42%	27%	31%
Market	43%	26%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours US Mondorf-Les-Bains (rating 1520 vs 1572).
H2H favours US Mondorf-Les-Bains: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bissen	US Mondorf-Les-Bains
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.1	1.8 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.3	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.2	3 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.6	3.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.40

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
15:04 +8’	2.10	3.40	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bissen 1–0–2 US Mondorf-Les-Bains

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/03/26 Luxembourg Cup	Bissen	2-1 HT 0-1	US Mondorf-Les-Bains
22/02/26 Luxembourg Division Nationale	US Mondorf-Les-Bains	2-1 HT 1-1	Bissen
24/08/25 Luxembourg Division Nationale	Bissen	0-2 HT 0-1	US Mondorf-Les-Bains

Standings · Luxembourg Division Nationale

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	UNA Strassen	5	5	0	0	10	1	15
2	US Mondorf-Les-Bains	5	5	0	0	12	6	15
3	FC 03 Differdange	5	4	0	1	11	4	12
4	Union Luxembourg	5	3	1	1	13	6	10
5	Residence Walferdange	5	3	0	2	11	6	9
6	UN Kaerjeng	5	3	0	2	13	9	9
7	Progres Niedercorn	5	3	0	2	8	4	9
8	US Hostert	6	3	0	3	13	10	9
9	Bissen	5	3	0	2	7	7	9
10	F91 Dudelange	5	2	0	3	5	8	6
11	Rumelange	5	2	0	3	8	12	6
12	Wiltz	5	1	1	3	10	11	4
13	Victoria Rosport	6	1	1	4	10	14	4
14	Jeunesse Esch	5	1	0	4	7	10	3
15	FC Etzella Ettelbruck	5	0	1	4	2	13	1
16	Swift Hesperange	5	0	0	5	2	21	-12

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bissen	US Mondorf-Les-Bains
UNA Strassen	1-2 L	0-0 D
Progres Niedercorn	0-4 L	2-1 W
Jeunesse Esch	2-0 W	3-1 W
F91 Dudelange	2-0 W	1-0 W
FC 03 Differdange	1-0 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: US Mondorf-Les-Bains (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bissen

DWWWWWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	UNA Strassen Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	1-2	3	11	L
23/08	Residence Walferdange Luxembourg Division Nationale	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
16/08	Progres Niedercorn Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	0-4	6	10	L
09/08	Jeunesse Esch Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-0	2-0	2	0	W
04/08	F91 Dudelange Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-0	2-0	7	4	W
23/05	FC 03 Differdange Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
17/05	Jeunesse Canach Luxembourg Division Nationale	2-0	5-0	5	4	W
10/05	FC Rodange Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	3-2	5	6	W
03/05	Union Luxembourg Luxembourg Division Nationale	3-0	5-0	1	5	W
26/04	FC Mamer 32 Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	2-2	6	8	D

US Mondorf-Les-Bains

WWLWDWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Progres Niedercorn Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
23/08	Jeunesse Esch Luxembourg Division Nationale	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
16/08	F91 Dudelange Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-0	1-0	7	5	W
09/08	Victoria Rosport Luxembourg Division Nationale	2-1	3-2	7	4	W
02/08	FC 03 Differdange Luxembourg Division Nationale	2-1	3-2	–	–	W
23/05	UNA Strassen Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	0-0	0	0	D
17/05	UT Petange Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
10/05	Victoria Rosport Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	0-1	4	3	L
03/05	Swift Hesperange Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
26/04	US Hostert Luxembourg Division Nationale	2-0	4-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bissen vs US Mondorf-Les-Bains?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bissen win (42%). Probabilities: Bissen 42%, draw 26%, US Mondorf-Les-Bains 31%.

How many goals are expected in Bissen vs US Mondorf-Les-Bains?

The model expects 2.93 goals (Bissen 1.59 · US Mondorf-Les-Bains 1.33), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Bissen vs US Mondorf-Les-Bains?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.