Football · Luxembourg Division Nationale · 23/08, 16:00
Prediction: Jeunesse Esch vs US Mondorf-Les-Bains
Team pages: Jeunesse Esch · US Mondorf-Les-Bains
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.33Total
Jeunesse Esch0.84
US Mondorf-Les-Bains1.5
1X2
Jeunesse Esch
Draw
US Mondorf-Les-Bains
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Jeunesse Esch
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
US Mondorf-Les-Bains
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Jeunesse Esch
2–3–1
US Mondorf-Les-Bains
(6 last)
- US Mondorf-Les-Bains1-1Jeunesse Esch
- Jeunesse Esch2-0US Mondorf-Les-Bains
- US Mondorf-Les-Bains4-1Jeunesse Esch
- Jeunesse Esch1-1US Mondorf-Les-Bains
- US Mondorf-Les-Bains0-2Jeunesse Esch
- Jeunesse Esch2-2US Mondorf-Les-Bains
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jeunesse Esch 1515 · US Mondorf-Les-Bains 1539
| Jeunesse Esch | Draw | US Mondorf-Les-Bains | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 29% | 52% |
| Market | 22% | 25% | 54% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Jeunesse Esch: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Jeunesse Esch | US Mondorf-Les-Bains | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.3 | 1.5 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.6 | 2.4 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.3 | 4.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jeunesse Esch 2–3–1 US Mondorf-Les-Bains
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Luxembourg Division Nationale | US Mondorf-Les-Bains | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Jeunesse Esch |
| 19/10/25 Luxembourg Division Nationale | Jeunesse Esch | 2-0 HT 1-0 | US Mondorf-Les-Bains |
| 25/05/25 Luxembourg Division Nationale | US Mondorf-Les-Bains | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Jeunesse Esch |
| 04/08/24 Luxembourg Division Nationale | Jeunesse Esch | 1-1 HT 1-0 | US Mondorf-Les-Bains |
| 17/03/24 Luxembourg Division Nationale | US Mondorf-Les-Bains | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Jeunesse Esch |
| 24/09/23 Luxembourg Division Nationale | Jeunesse Esch | 2-2 HT 1-1 | US Mondorf-Les-Bains |
Standings · Luxembourg Division Nationale
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Luxembourg | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | UNA Strassen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 3 | Progres Niedercorn | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | US Mondorf-Les-Bains | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | FC 03 Differdange | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Residence Walferdange | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Bissen | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Rumelange | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 9 | Wiltz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | US Hostert | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 3 |
| 11 | UN Kaerjeng | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
| 12 | FC Etzella Ettelbruck | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| 13 | Jeunesse Esch | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 | F91 Dudelange | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 | Victoria Rosport | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 | Swift Hesperange | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -12 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Jeunesse Esch | US Mondorf-Les-Bains |
|---|---|---|
| UNA Strassen | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| UT Petange | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Victoria Rosport | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Swift Hesperange | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: US Mondorf-Les-Bains (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jeunesse Esch
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | UNA Strassen Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 09/08 | Bissen Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 01/08 | Progres Niedercorn Luxembourg Division Nationale |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 23/05 | UN Kaerjeng Luxembourg Division Nationale |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Progres Niedercorn Luxembourg Division Nationale |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | UNA Strassen Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 03/05 | UT Petange Luxembourg Division Nationale |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 26/04 | Victoria Rosport Luxembourg Division Nationale |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 19/04 | Swift Hesperange Luxembourg Division Nationale |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 12/04 | US Mondorf-Les-Bains Luxembourg Division Nationale |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
US Mondorf-Les-Bains
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | F91 Dudelange Luxembourg Division Nationale |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Victoria Rosport Luxembourg Division Nationale |
2-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | FC 03 Differdange Luxembourg Division Nationale |
2-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | UNA Strassen Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 17/05 | UT Petange Luxembourg Division Nationale |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | Victoria Rosport Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Swift Hesperange Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | US Hostert Luxembourg Division Nationale |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | F91 Dudelange Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 12/04 | Jeunesse Esch Luxembourg Division Nationale |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jeunesse Esch vs US Mondorf-Les-Bains?
According to our model, the most likely result is an US Mondorf-Les-Bains win (53%). Probabilities: Jeunesse Esch 21%, draw 27%, US Mondorf-Les-Bains 53%.
How many goals are expected in Jeunesse Esch vs US Mondorf-Les-Bains?
The model expects 2.33 goals (Jeunesse Esch 0.84 · US Mondorf-Les-Bains 1.5), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Jeunesse Esch vs US Mondorf-Les-Bains?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.