Football · Malawi Super League · 19/07, 14:30
Prediction: Silver Strikers vs Karonga United
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.34Total
Silver Strikers1.67
Karonga United0.68
1X2
Silver Strikers
Draw
Karonga United
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Silver Strikers
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Karonga United
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Silver Strikers
4–1–1
Karonga United
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Silver Strikers 1548 · Karonga United 1486
| Silver Strikers | Draw | Karonga United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 26% | 14% |
| Market | 61% | 25% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.34 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Silver Strikers (rating 1548 vs 1486).
- H2H favours Silver Strikers: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Silver Strikers | Karonga United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.3 | 2.2 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Silver Strikers 4–1–1 Karonga United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/26 Malawi Top 8 Cup | Karonga United | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Silver Strikers |
| 14/06/26 Malawi Top 8 Cup | Silver Strikers | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Karonga United |
| 14/12/25 Malawi Super League | Karonga United | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Silver Strikers |
| 25/06/25 Malawi Super League | Silver Strikers | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Karonga United |
| 25/05/24 Malawi Super League | Silver Strikers | 4-2 HT 1-1 | Karonga United |
| 25/06/23 Malawi Super League | Silver Strikers | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Karonga United |
Standings · Malawi Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blue Eagles | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 19 |
| 2 | Big Bullets | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Mighty Wanderers | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Silver Strikers | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 18 |
| 5 | Ekhaya FC | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 15 |
| 6 | Red Lions | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 15 |
| 7 | Masters FC | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 15 |
| 8 | Moyale Barracks | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 12 |
| 9 | Mitundu Baptist FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 11 |
| 10 | Civil Service Utd | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 11 |
| 11 | Chitipa United | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 10 |
| 12 | MAFCO | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
| 13 | Karonga United | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 9 |
| 14 | Dedza Dynamos | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 8 |
| 15 | Creck SC | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 5 |
| 16 | Kamuzu Barracks | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Silver Strikers | Karonga United |
|---|---|---|
| Red Lions | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Civil Service Utd | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| MAFCO | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Mighty Wanderers | 0-0 D | 1-4 L |
| Blue Eagles | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| Moyale Barracks | 4-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Silver Strikers (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Silver Strikers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Karonga United Malawi Top 8 Cup |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 05/07 | Chitipa United Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 28/06 | Red Lions Malawi Super League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | Civil Service Utd Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 14/06 | Karonga United Malawi Top 8 Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 30/05 | MAFCO Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Mighty Wanderers Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Masters FC Malawi Super League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Blue Eagles Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Moyale Barracks Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
Karonga United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Silver Strikers Malawi Top 8 Cup |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 04/07 | Dedza Dynamos Malawi Super League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 28/06 | Moyale Barracks Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 21/06 | Blue Eagles Malawi Super League |
2-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Silver Strikers Malawi Top 8 Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 31/05 | Red Lions Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 27/05 | Mighty Wanderers Malawi Super League |
1-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Civil Service Utd Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | MAFCO Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | Kamuzu Barracks Malawi Super League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Silver Strikers vs Karonga United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Silver Strikers win (60%). Probabilities: Silver Strikers 60%, draw 25%, Karonga United 14%.
How many goals are expected in Silver Strikers vs Karonga United?
The model expects 2.34 goals (Silver Strikers 1.67 · Karonga United 0.68), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Silver Strikers vs Karonga United?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.