Football · Malawi Super League · 19/07, 14:30

Prediction: Dedza Dynamos vs Chitipa United

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.84Total
Dedza Dynamos1.21
Chitipa United0.64
1X2
50% 31% 20%
Dedza Dynamos Draw Chitipa United
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 56% Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Dedza Dynamos 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LDLLLLWLDW
Chitipa United 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LLWLWLLLWD
Head-to-head
Dedza Dynamos 1–2–1 Chitipa United (4 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dedza Dynamos 1449 · Chitipa United 1472
Dedza DynamosDrawChitipa United
Our model49%33%18%
Market51%29%21%
Estimated total (ours) 1.84 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Dedza DynamosChitipa United
Goals for / against (FT)0.6 / 1.70.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.80 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%0/70/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 51.9 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 03.2 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dedza Dynamos 121 Chitipa United

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/10/25
Malawi Super League
Chitipa United1-0
HT 1-0
Dedza Dynamos
27/04/25
Malawi Super League
Dedza Dynamos2-0
HT 0-0
Chitipa United
26/10/24
Malawi Super League
Chitipa United2-2
HT 1-0
Dedza Dynamos
19/05/24
Malawi Super League
Dedza Dynamos0-0
HT 0-0
Chitipa United

Standings · Malawi Super League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Blue Eagles 9612 14819
2 Big Bullets 9540 12619
3 Mighty Wanderers 9531 18618
4 Silver Strikers 9531 14318
5 Ekhaya FC 9432 12615
6 Red Lions 9432 8615
7 Masters FC 9504 111015
8 Moyale Barracks 9333 81012
9 Mitundu Baptist FC 9324 81011
10 Civil Service Utd 9324 6911
11 Chitipa United 9315 61210
12 MAFCO 9234 789
13 Karonga United 9234 9149
14 Dedza Dynamos 9225 5158
15 Creck SC 9126 6135
16 Kamuzu Barracks 9117 7154

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDedza DynamosChitipa United
Karonga United 3-1 W 0-1 L
Mighty Wanderers 1-1 D 0-4 L
MAFCO 0-3 L 0-2 L
Kamuzu Barracks 1-0 W 2-1 W
Masters FC 0-4 L 0-1 L
Blue Eagles 0-2 L 1-0 W
Red Lions 0-3 L 0-1 L
Civil Service Utd 0-1 L 1-0 W
Moyale Barracks 0-0 D 2-3 L
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 5 L 3 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Chitipa United (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dedza Dynamos

LDLLLLWLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Karonga United
Malawi Super League
2-1 3-1 54 W
28/06 Mighty Wanderers
Malawi Super League
1-0 1-1 04 D
20/06 MAFCO
Malawi Super League
0-1 0-3 74 L
31/05 Kamuzu Barracks
Malawi Super League
0-0 1-0 93 W
24/05 Masters FC
Malawi Super League
0-2 0-4 51 L
17/05 Blue Eagles
Malawi Super League
0-1 0-2 41 L
10/05 Red Lions
Malawi Super League
0-2 0-3 44 L
03/05 Civil Service Utd
Malawi Super League
0-1 0-1 43 L
25/04 Moyale Barracks
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-0 62 D
21/02 Big Bullets
Malawi Challenge Cup
0-0 1-2 65 L

Chitipa United

LLWLWLLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Silver Strikers
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-0 56 D
27/06 Kamuzu Barracks
Malawi Super League
0-0 2-1 34 W
21/06 Red Lions
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-1 75 L
31/05 Mighty Wanderers
Malawi Super League
0-3 0-4 35 L
24/05 MAFCO
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-2 21 L
16/05 Civil Service Utd
Malawi Super League
0-0 1-0 21 W
09/05 Moyale Barracks
Malawi Super League
0-1 2-3 42 L
02/05 Blue Eagles
Malawi Super League
0-0 1-0 24 W
26/04 Masters FC
Malawi Super League
0-1 0-1 51 L
27/12 Karonga United
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-1 35 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dedza Dynamos vs Chitipa United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dedza Dynamos win (50%). Probabilities: Dedza Dynamos 50%, draw 31%, Chitipa United 20%.

How many goals are expected in Dedza Dynamos vs Chitipa United?

The model expects 1.84 goals (Dedza Dynamos 1.21 · Chitipa United 0.64), with a 57% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Dedza Dynamos vs Chitipa United?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.