Football · Malawi Super League · 19/07, 14:30

Prediction: Ekhaya FC vs Big Bullets

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.97Total
Ekhaya FC0.85
Big Bullets1.12
1X2
27% 32% 41%
Ekhaya FC Draw Big Bullets
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Ekhaya FC 4-5-1 (W-D-L)
LWWWDDWDDD
Big Bullets 4-6-0 (W-D-L)
WDDDDWWWDD
Head-to-head
Ekhaya FC 0–3–2 Big Bullets (5 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ekhaya FC 1532 · Big Bullets 1568
Ekhaya FCDrawBig Bullets
Our model26%33%40%
Market28%31%42%
Estimated total (ours) 1.97 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Big Bullets: 2-3-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Ekhaya FCBig Bullets
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 0.61.2 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.10.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/40/10%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 5.24.3 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.14.3 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ekhaya FC 032 Big Bullets

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/07/26
Malawi Top 8 Cup
Ekhaya FC1-1
HT 1-0
Big Bullets
11/07/26
Malawi Top 8 Cup
Ekhaya FC1-1
HT 1-0
Big Bullets
13/06/26
Malawi Top 8 Cup
Big Bullets1-1
HT 0-0
Ekhaya FC
14/12/25
Malawi Super League
Big Bullets2-0
HT 2-0
Ekhaya FC
02/07/25
Malawi Super League
Ekhaya FC0-1
HT 0-0
Big Bullets

Standings · Malawi Super League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Blue Eagles 9612 14819
2 Big Bullets 9540 12619
3 Mighty Wanderers 9531 18618
4 Silver Strikers 9531 14318
5 Ekhaya FC 9432 12615
6 Red Lions 9432 8615
7 Masters FC 9504 111015
8 Moyale Barracks 9333 81012
9 Mitundu Baptist FC 9324 81011
10 Civil Service Utd 9324 6911
11 Chitipa United 9315 61210
12 MAFCO 9234 789
13 Karonga United 9234 9149
14 Dedza Dynamos 9225 5158
15 Creck SC 9126 6135
16 Kamuzu Barracks 9117 7154

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentEkhaya FCBig Bullets
Mighty Wanderers 1-1 D 2-1 W
Masters FC 2-0 W 1-0 W
Kamuzu Barracks 4-1 W 2-1 W
Moyale Barracks 2-0 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 0 L 3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Ekhaya FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ekhaya FC

LWWWDDWDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Big Bullets
Malawi Top 8 Cup
1-0 1-1 57 D
11/07 Big Bullets
Malawi Top 8 Cup
1-0 1-1 57 D
05/07 Mitundu Baptist FC
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-0 72 D
28/06 MAFCO
Malawi Super League
0-0 1-0 75 W
20/06 Mighty Wanderers
Malawi Super League
1-0 1-1 34 D
13/06 Big Bullets
Malawi Top 8 Cup
0-0 1-1 31 D
30/05 Masters FC
Malawi Super League
1-0 2-0 52 W
23/05 Kamuzu Barracks
Malawi Super League
2-0 4-1 42 W
16/05 Moyale Barracks
Malawi Super League
0-0 2-0 76 W
09/05 Civil Service Utd
Malawi Super League
0-1 0-1 62 L

Big Bullets

WDDDDWWWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Ekhaya FC
Malawi Top 8 Cup
0-1 1-1 37 D
11/07 Ekhaya FC
Malawi Top 8 Cup
0-1 1-1 37 D
04/07 Creck SC
Malawi Super League
1-0 2-0 37 W
29/06 Masters FC
Malawi Super League
0-0 1-0 W
21/06 Kamuzu Barracks
Malawi Super League
1-0 2-1 121 W
13/06 Ekhaya FC
Malawi Top 8 Cup
0-0 1-1 61 D
31/05 Moyale Barracks
Malawi Super League
0-0 1-1 15 D
23/05 Blue Eagles
Malawi Super League
0-1 1-1 53 D
17/05 Red Lions
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-0 D
10/05 Mighty Wanderers
Malawi Super League
1-0 2-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ekhaya FC vs Big Bullets?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Big Bullets win (41%). Probabilities: Ekhaya FC 27%, draw 32%, Big Bullets 41%.

How many goals are expected in Ekhaya FC vs Big Bullets?

The model expects 1.97 goals (Ekhaya FC 0.85 · Big Bullets 1.12), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Ekhaya FC vs Big Bullets?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.