Football · Portugal Liga 3 · 09/08, 18:00
Prediction: Trofense vs Varzim
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.07Total
Trofense1.15
Varzim0.93
1X2
Trofense
Draw
Varzim
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Trofense
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Varzim
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Trofense
3–3
Varzim
(6 last)
- Trofense0-1Varzim
- Varzim2-0Trofense
- Varzim0-1Trofense
- Trofense2-1Varzim
- Trofense5-1Varzim
- Varzim2-1Trofense
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Trofense | Varzim | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 1.1 | 1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.5 | 1.6 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.2 | 4.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Trofense 3–0–3 Varzim
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Portugal Liga 3 | Trofense | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Varzim |
| 21/02/26 Portugal Liga 3 | Varzim | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Trofense |
| 20/12/25 Portugal Liga 3 | Varzim | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Trofense |
| 11/10/25 Portugal Liga 3 | Trofense | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Varzim |
| 30/08/25 Portugal Cup | Trofense | 5-1 HT 3-0 | Varzim |
| 18/01/25 Portugal Liga 3 | Varzim | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Trofense |
Standings · Portugal Liga 3 · Liga 3 26/27, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AD Fafe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | AD Marco 09 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Trofense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Pacos Ferreira | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sao Joao Ver | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SC Vianense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Paredes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Varzim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guimaraes B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Trofense | Varzim |
|---|---|---|
| Academica | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Guimaraes B | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Amarante | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| CD Mafra | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| UD Santarem | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| CF Os Belenenses | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 0 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Trofense (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Trofense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Salgueiros Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 31/07 | AVS Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 16/05 | Academica Portugal Liga 3 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Guimaraes B Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 01/05 | Amarante Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | CD Mafra Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Varzim Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 11/04 | UD Santarem Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 03/04 | CF Os Belenenses Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 22/03 | Academica Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
Varzim
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Guimaraes Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 01/08 | Academico Viseu Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 29/07 | FC Tirsense Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | UD Santarem Portugal Liga 3 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | CF Os Belenenses Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Academica Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | Guimaraes B Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Trofense Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 11/04 | CD Mafra Portugal Liga 3 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 04/04 | Amarante Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Trofense vs Varzim?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Trofense win (39%). Probabilities: Trofense 39%, draw 33%, Varzim 28%.
How many goals are expected in Trofense vs Varzim?
The model expects 2.07 goals (Trofense 1.15 · Varzim 0.93), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Trofense vs Varzim?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.