Prediction: GD Vitoria de Sernache vs Sporting Covilha
Team pages: GD Vitoria de Sernache · Sporting Covilha
| GD Vitoria de Sernache | Draw | Sporting Covilha | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 31% | 38% |
| Market | 32% | 29% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| GD Vitoria de Sernache | Sporting Covilha | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.9 | 1.8 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Standings · Portugal Liga 3 · Liga 3 26/27, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | CD Mafra | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Atletico CP Lisbon | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Sporting Covilha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | UD Oliveirense | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 6 | Louletano DC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 6 | UD Santarem | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 8 | Caldas SC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 8 | Lusitano GC Evora | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 | GD Vitoria de Sernache | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
GD Vitoria de Sernache
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | CD Mafra Portugal Liga 3 |
0-3 | 0-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 10/06 | Leca Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 31/05 | Louletano DC Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 23/05 | AT Malveira Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Oliveira Hospital Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Louletano DC Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 26/04 | Oliveira Hospital Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Naval 1893 Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 12/04 | Mortagua FC Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 04/04 | Fatima Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
Sporting Covilha
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | UD Santarem Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 01/05 | Amora Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Caldas SC Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 18/04 | Lusitano GC Evora Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 12/04 | Atletico CP Lisbon Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 21/03 | SU 1 Dezembro Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 14/03 | Lusitano GC Evora Portugal Liga 3 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 07/03 | SU 1 Dezembro Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 28/02 | Atletico CP Lisbon Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 22/02 | Caldas SC Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in GD Vitoria de Sernache vs Sporting Covilha?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sporting Covilha win (38%). Probabilities: GD Vitoria de Sernache 31%, draw 30%, Sporting Covilha 38%.
How many goals are expected in GD Vitoria de Sernache vs Sporting Covilha?
The model expects 2.23 goals (GD Vitoria de Sernache 1.05 · Sporting Covilha 1.19), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in GD Vitoria de Sernache vs Sporting Covilha?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.