Football · Portugal Liga 3 · 15/08, 18:30

Prediction: SC Vianense vs Trofense

Team pages: SC Vianense · Trofense

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.3Total
SC Vianense1.24
Trofense1.06
1X2
39% 30% 31%
SC Vianense Draw Trofense
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
SC Vianense 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WWWLWWLLWD
Trofense 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
LWLLDDLDLL
Head-to-head
SC Vianense 0–3–2 Trofense (5 last)
  • Trofense2-2SC Vianense
  • Trofense1-0SC Vianense
  • SC Vianense1-1Trofense
  • Trofense1-1SC Vianense
  • SC Vianense0-1Trofense
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SC Vianense 1550 · Trofense 1445
SC VianenseDrawTrofense
Our model39%31%30%
Market40%29%31%
Estimated total (ours) 2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SC Vianense (rating 1550 vs 1445).
  • H2H favours Trofense: 2-3-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SC VianenseTrofense
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 10.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)1.2 / 0.30.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)70/20/10%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 4.92.4 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 0.32.8 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · SC Vianense 032 Trofense

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/09/25
Portugal Cup
Trofense2-2
HT 0-1
SC Vianense
06/04/24
Portugal Liga 3
Trofense1-0
HT 1-0
SC Vianense
03/03/24
Portugal Liga 3
SC Vianense1-1
HT 1-0
Trofense
09/12/23
Portugal Liga 3
Trofense1-1
HT 0-1
SC Vianense
26/08/23
Portugal Liga 3
SC Vianense0-1
HT 0-1
Trofense

Standings · Portugal Liga 3 · Liga 3 26/27, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Paredes 1100 313
2 AD Marco 09 1100 213
3 Varzim 1100 103
4 Leca 1010 111
4 Sao Joao Ver 1010 111
6 AD Fafe 1010 001
6 SC Vianense 1010 001
8 Pacos Ferreira 1001 120
9 Trofense 1001 010
10 Guimaraes B 1001 130

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SC Vianense

WWWLWWLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 AD Fafe
Portugal Liga 3
0-0 0-0 14 D
31/05 Rebordosa
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-0 2-0 60 W
23/05 Braganca
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 0-1 25 L
17/05 Leca
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-3 3-4 36 L
10/05 Rebordosa
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-0 3-0 84 W
03/05 Braganca
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-0 1-0 68 W
26/04 Leca
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
2-0 2-4 47 L
18/04 Limianos
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
2-0 4-1 53 W
12/04 Desportivo Moncao
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
3-0 5-0 92 W
04/04 SC Mirandela
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-0 1-0 58 W

Trofense

LWLLDDLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Varzim
Portugal Liga 3
0-1 0-1 24 L
01/08 Salgueiros
Europe Friendlies
0-1 0-1 50 L
31/07 AVS
Europe Friendlies
1-0 1-1 31 D
16/05 Academica
Portugal Liga 3
0-2 0-3 22 L
09/05 Guimaraes B
Portugal Liga 3
1-1 1-1 81 D
01/05 Amarante
Portugal Liga 3
0-0 0-0 33 D
25/04 CD Mafra
Portugal Liga 3
0-0 0-1 32 L
18/04 Varzim
Portugal Liga 3
0-0 0-1 49 L
11/04 UD Santarem
Portugal Liga 3
0-0 1-0 74 W
03/04 CF Os Belenenses
Portugal Liga 3
0-1 0-1 64 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SC Vianense vs Trofense?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SC Vianense win (39%). Probabilities: SC Vianense 39%, draw 30%, Trofense 31%.

How many goals are expected in SC Vianense vs Trofense?

The model expects 2.3 goals (SC Vianense 1.24 · Trofense 1.06), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SC Vianense vs Trofense?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.