Football · Portugal Liga 3 · 15/08, 18:30

Prediction: Pacos Ferreira vs Paredes

Team pages: Pacos Ferreira · Paredes

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.74Total
Pacos Ferreira1.36
Paredes1.38
1X2
35% 29% 36%
Pacos Ferreira Draw Paredes
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Pacos Ferreira 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LLDDWLLDWL
Paredes 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LDLLWDLDWW
Head-to-head
Pacos Ferreira 2–1–0 Paredes (3 last)
  • Paredes1-1Pacos Ferreira
  • Paredes0-1Pacos Ferreira
  • Paredes0-4Pacos Ferreira
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pacos Ferreira 1469 · Paredes 1495
Pacos FerreiraDrawParedes
Our model36%28%36%
Market35%29%36%
Estimated total (ours) 2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Pacos Ferreira: 2-1-0.
  • High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Pacos FerreiraParedes
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.61.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.90.9 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.2 / 5.72.2 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.6 / 0.35.2 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pacos Ferreira 210 Paredes

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DateHomeScoreAway
04/08/24
Europe Friendlies
Paredes1-1
HT 1-0
Pacos Ferreira
04/08/19
Europe Friendlies
Paredes0-1
HT 0-0
Pacos Ferreira
01/08/18
Europe Friendlies
Paredes0-4
HT 0-1
Pacos Ferreira

Standings · Portugal Liga 3 · Liga 3 26/27, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Paredes 1100 313
2 AD Marco 09 1100 213
3 Varzim 1100 103
4 Leca 1010 111
4 Sao Joao Ver 1010 111
6 AD Fafe 1010 001
6 SC Vianense 1010 001
8 Pacos Ferreira 1001 120
9 Trofense 1001 010
10 Guimaraes B 1001 130

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPacos FerreiraParedes
AD Marco 09 1-2 L 2-2 D
Lusitania Lourosa 0-2 L 4-2 W
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Paredes (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pacos Ferreira

LLDDWLLDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 AD Marco 09
Portugal Liga 3
0-1 1-2 56 L
17/05 Penafiel
Portugal Segunda Liga
0-0 2-1 57 W
09/05 SC Farense
Portugal Segunda Liga
0-0 1-1 96 D
03/05 Feirense
Portugal Segunda Liga
1-2 1-2 1511 L
26/04 Lusitania Lourosa
Portugal Segunda Liga
0-1 0-2 37 L
18/04 Chaves
Portugal Segunda Liga
3-3 4-3 23 W
10/04 Felgueiras 1932
Portugal Segunda Liga
0-0 0-0 75 D
04/04 Maritimo
Portugal Segunda Liga
0-0 0-0 66 D
29/03 UD Leiria
Portugal Segunda Liga
0-1 0-2 34 L
22/03 Leixoes
Portugal Segunda Liga
2-1 2-3 24 L

Paredes

LDLLWDLDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/08 Guimaraes B
Portugal Liga 3
2-0 3-1 86 W
01/08 Lusitania Lourosa
Europe Friendlies
2-0 4-2 53 W
03/05 AD Marco 09
Portugal Liga 3
0-1 2-2 67 D
26/04 AD Sanjoanense
Portugal Liga 3
0-1 0-1 44 L
18/04 Sao Joao Ver
Portugal Liga 3
0-0 0-0 86 D
12/04 Braga B
Portugal Liga 3
4-0 4-1 52 W
22/03 AD Fafe
Portugal Liga 3
0-0 0-1 68 L
15/03 Sao Joao Ver
Portugal Liga 3
1-0 1-3 56 L
08/03 AD Fafe
Portugal Liga 3
0-0 0-0 34 D
01/03 Braga B
Portugal Liga 3
0-0 0-1 48 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pacos Ferreira vs Paredes?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Paredes win (36%). Probabilities: Pacos Ferreira 35%, draw 29%, Paredes 36%.

How many goals are expected in Pacos Ferreira vs Paredes?

The model expects 2.74 goals (Pacos Ferreira 1.36 · Paredes 1.38), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Pacos Ferreira vs Paredes?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.