Prediction: Varzim vs AD Marco 09
Team pages: Varzim · AD Marco 09
- AD Marco 091-3Varzim
- Varzim2-1AD Marco 09
- Varzim2-2AD Marco 09
| Varzim | Draw | AD Marco 09 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 31% | 23% |
| Market | 47% | 28% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Varzim: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Varzim | AD Marco 09 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.6 | 2.6 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.3 | 5.9 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Varzim 2–1–0 AD Marco 09
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 Portugal Liga 3 | AD Marco 09 | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Varzim |
| 01/11/25 Portugal Liga 3 | Varzim | 2-1 HT 0-1 | AD Marco 09 |
| 27/07/24 Europe Friendlies | Varzim | 2-2 HT 1-1 | AD Marco 09 |
Standings · Portugal Liga 3 · Liga 3 26/27, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | SC Vianense | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | AD Marco 09 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Varzim | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Guimaraes B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | Sao Joao Ver | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Leca | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 8 | AD Fafe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Pacos Ferreira | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 | Trofense | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Varzim
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Trofense Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Guimaraes Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 01/08 | Academico Viseu Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 29/07 | FC Tirsense Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | UD Santarem Portugal Liga 3 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | CF Os Belenenses Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Academica Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | Guimaraes B Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Trofense Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 11/04 | CD Mafra Portugal Liga 3 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
AD Marco 09
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Pacos Ferreira Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 01/08 | Cinfaes Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Paredes Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 26/04 | Braga B Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | AD Fafe Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 12/04 | Sao Joao Ver Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 11 | D |
| 21/03 | AD Sanjoanense Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 15/03 | AD Fafe Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 08/03 | AD Sanjoanense Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 01/03 | Sao Joao Ver Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Varzim vs AD Marco 09?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Varzim win (47%). Probabilities: Varzim 47%, draw 29%, AD Marco 09 24%.
How many goals are expected in Varzim vs AD Marco 09?
The model expects 2.21 goals (Varzim 1.34 · AD Marco 09 0.87), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Varzim vs AD Marco 09?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.