Football · Portugal Liga 3 · 16/08, 18:30

Prediction: Caldas SC vs Lusitano GC Evora

Team pages: Caldas SC · Lusitano GC Evora

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.05Total
Caldas SC1.1
Lusitano GC Evora0.95
1X2
39% 30% 31%
Caldas SC Draw Lusitano GC Evora
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Caldas SC 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WWLDWLDLDL
Lusitano GC Evora 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WDLWDWWWLL
Head-to-head
Caldas SC 2–1–1 Lusitano GC Evora (4 last)
  • Caldas SC1-1Lusitano GC Evora
  • Lusitano GC Evora0-1Caldas SC
  • Lusitano GC Evora1-0Caldas SC
  • Caldas SC2-1Lusitano GC Evora
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Caldas SC 1482 · Lusitano GC Evora 1515
Caldas SCDrawLusitano GC Evora
Our model37%33%30%
Market40%28%32%
Estimated total (ours) 2.05 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Caldas SC: 2-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Caldas SCLusitano GC Evora
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.21.1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.80.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1 / 3.33.4 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.23.8 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Caldas SC 211 Lusitano GC Evora

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/03/26
Portugal Liga 3
Caldas SC1-1
HT 1-1
Lusitano GC Evora
07/03/26
Portugal Liga 3
Lusitano GC Evora0-1
HT 0-1
Caldas SC
17/01/26
Portugal Liga 3
Lusitano GC Evora1-0
HT 0-0
Caldas SC
26/10/25
Portugal Liga 3
Caldas SC2-1
HT 0-1
Lusitano GC Evora

Standings · Portugal Liga 3 · Liga 3 26/27, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 CF Os Belenenses 2200 416
2 CD Mafra 2110 614
3 Atletico CP Lisbon 2110 214
4 Sporting Covilha 1100 203
5 UD Oliveirense 2020 112
6 Louletano DC 2011 131
6 UD Santarem 2011 131
8 Caldas SC 1001 010
8 Lusitano GC Evora 1001 010
10 GD Vitoria de Sernache 1001 050

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCaldas SCLusitano GC Evora
SU 1 Dezembro 1-2 L 2-1 W
Sporting Covilha 1-1 D 1-0 W
Atletico CP Lisbon 0-2 L 0-1 L
Amora 2-1 W 2-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 2 L 3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Lusitano GC Evora (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Caldas SC

WWLDWLDLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 CF Os Belenenses
Portugal Liga 3
0-1 0-1 41 L
01/08 Academica
Europe Friendlies
1-2 2-2 44 D
02/05 SU 1 Dezembro
Portugal Liga 3
1-1 1-2 00 L
25/04 Sporting Covilha
Portugal Liga 3
1-0 1-1 27 D
18/04 Atletico CP Lisbon
Portugal Liga 3
0-1 0-2 23 L
12/04 Amora
Portugal Liga 3
0-0 2-1 56 W
22/03 Lusitano GC Evora
Portugal Liga 3
1-1 1-1 24 D
14/03 Atletico CP Lisbon
Portugal Liga 3
0-1 0-1 53 L
07/03 Lusitano GC Evora
Portugal Liga 3
1-0 1-0 17 W
28/02 Amora
Portugal Liga 3
0-1 2-1 86 W

Lusitano GC Evora

WDLWDWWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Atletico CP Lisbon
Portugal Liga 3
0-1 0-1 64 L
02/05 Atletico CP Lisbon
Portugal Liga 3
0-0 0-1 84 L
25/04 Amora
Portugal Liga 3
1-0 2-1 65 W
18/04 Sporting Covilha
Portugal Liga 3
1-0 1-0 31 W
11/04 SU 1 Dezembro
Portugal Liga 3
2-0 2-1 75 W
22/03 Caldas SC
Portugal Liga 3
1-1 1-1 74 D
14/03 Sporting Covilha
Portugal Liga 3
2-0 3-1 84 W
07/03 Caldas SC
Portugal Liga 3
0-1 0-1 77 L
28/02 SU 1 Dezembro
Portugal Liga 3
1-1 1-1 63 D
22/02 Amora
Portugal Liga 3
1-0 1-0 45 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Caldas SC vs Lusitano GC Evora?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Caldas SC win (39%). Probabilities: Caldas SC 39%, draw 30%, Lusitano GC Evora 31%.

How many goals are expected in Caldas SC vs Lusitano GC Evora?

The model expects 2.05 goals (Caldas SC 1.1 · Lusitano GC Evora 0.95), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Caldas SC vs Lusitano GC Evora?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.