Football · Portugal Liga 3 · 08/08, 18:00
Prediction: Lusitano GC Evora vs Atletico CP Lisbon
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.01Total
Lusitano GC Evora1.11
Atletico CP Lisbon0.9
1X2
Lusitano GC Evora
Draw
Atletico CP Lisbon
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Lusitano GC Evora
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Atletico CP Lisbon
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lusitano GC Evora
0–6
Atletico CP Lisbon
(6 last)
- Lusitano GC Evora0-1Atletico CP Lisbon
- Atletico CP Lisbon3-0Lusitano GC Evora
- Atletico CP Lisbon1-0Lusitano GC Evora
- Lusitano GC Evora0-1Atletico CP Lisbon
- Atletico CP Lisbon5-1Lusitano GC Evora
- Lusitano GC Evora0-1Atletico CP Lisbon
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lusitano GC Evora 1507 · Atletico CP Lisbon 1521
| Lusitano GC Evora | Draw | Atletico CP Lisbon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 33% | 28% |
| Market | 41% | 29% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.01 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Atletico CP Lisbon: 6-0-0.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lusitano GC Evora | Atletico CP Lisbon | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1 | 1.3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 5.9 | 1.9 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.4 | 4.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lusitano GC Evora 0–0–6 Atletico CP Lisbon
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Portugal Liga 3 | Lusitano GC Evora | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Atletico CP Lisbon |
| 15/02/26 Portugal Liga 3 | Atletico CP Lisbon | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Lusitano GC Evora |
| 13/12/25 Portugal Liga 3 | Atletico CP Lisbon | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Lusitano GC Evora |
| 13/09/25 Portugal Liga 3 | Lusitano GC Evora | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Atletico CP Lisbon |
| 28/05/23 Portugal Campeonato Nacional | Atletico CP Lisbon | 5-1 HT 1-1 | Lusitano GC Evora |
| 07/05/23 Portugal Campeonato Nacional | Lusitano GC Evora | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Atletico CP Lisbon |
Standings · Portugal Liga 3 · Liga 3 26/27, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico CP Lisbon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Caldas SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CD Mafra | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | GD Vitoria de Sernache | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Louletano DC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lusitano GC Evora | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sporting Covilha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | UD Oliveirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | UD Santarem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lusitano GC Evora | Atletico CP Lisbon |
|---|---|---|
| Amora | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Sporting Covilha | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| SU 1 Dezembro | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Caldas SC | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Lusitano GC Evora (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lusitano GC Evora
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05 | Atletico CP Lisbon Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Amora Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Sporting Covilha Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 11/04 | SU 1 Dezembro Portugal Liga 3 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 22/03 | Caldas SC Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 14/03 | Sporting Covilha Portugal Liga 3 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 07/03 | Caldas SC Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 28/02 | SU 1 Dezembro Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 22/02 | Amora Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 15/02 | Atletico CP Lisbon Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
Atletico CP Lisbon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Benfica B Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | Lusitano GC Evora Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | SU 1 Dezembro Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Caldas SC Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | Sporting Covilha Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 22/03 | Amora Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 14/03 | Caldas SC Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 07/03 | Amora Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 28/02 | Sporting Covilha Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 22/02 | SU 1 Dezembro Portugal Liga 3 |
3-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lusitano GC Evora vs Atletico CP Lisbon?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lusitano GC Evora win (40%). Probabilities: Lusitano GC Evora 40%, draw 31%, Atletico CP Lisbon 29%.
How many goals are expected in Lusitano GC Evora vs Atletico CP Lisbon?
The model expects 2.01 goals (Lusitano GC Evora 1.11 · Atletico CP Lisbon 0.9), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Lusitano GC Evora vs Atletico CP Lisbon?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.