Football · China Division 2 · 18/07, 10:00

Prediction: Xiamen Feilu vs Ganzhou Ruishi

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.16Total
Xiamen Feilu1.39
Ganzhou Ruishi0.76
1X2
51% 29% 20%
Xiamen Feilu Draw Ganzhou Ruishi
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Xiamen Feilu 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LDWWWLLDWD
Ganzhou Ruishi 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LWWLWLWWDD
Head-to-head
Xiamen Feilu 0–1 Ganzhou Ruishi (1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Xiamen Feilu 1523 · Ganzhou Ruishi 1524
Xiamen FeiluDrawGanzhou Ruishi
Our model51%30%19%
Market51%29%20%
Estimated total (ours) 2.16 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Xiamen FeiluGanzhou Ruishi
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 0.81.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.40.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 2.80.4 / 2.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 0.33.2 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Xiamen Feilu 001 Ganzhou Ruishi

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/04/26
China Division 2
Ganzhou Ruishi2-1
HT 0-1
Xiamen Feilu

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group South

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 15915 221328
2 Shenzhen 2028 16763 252027
3 Hubei Istar 15753 231626
4 Ganzhou Ruishi 16664 171524
5 Xiamen Feilu 15663 241724
6 Jiangxi Lushan 15735 191424
7 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 16484 162320
8 Guangzhou Dandelion 16547 172019
9 Guangdong Mingtu 16385 171917
10 Wenzhou FC 15366 101715
11 Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 16358 101814
12 Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 15168 9179

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentXiamen FeiluGanzhou Ruishi
Shenzhen 2028 0-0 D 3-0 W
Guangdong Mingtu 2-1 W 0-2 L
Hubei Istar 0-0 D 4-4 D
Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 0-1 L 0-1 L
Wenzhou FC 0-1 L 1-0 W
Jiangxi Lushan 2-0 W 1-0 W
Guangzhou Dandelion 3-1 W 0-2 L
Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 2-0 W 1-1 D
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 2-2 D 1-0 W
Record vs common 4 W 3 D 2 L 4 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Xiamen Feilu (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Xiamen Feilu

LDWWWLLDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Shenzhen 2028
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 23 D
27/06 Guangdong Mingtu
China Division 2
1-1 2-1 34 W
23/06 Hubei Istar
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 31 D
19/06 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
China Division 2
0-1 0-1 23 L
13/06 Wenzhou FC
China Division 2
0-1 0-1 54 L
27/05 Jiangxi Lushan
China Division 2
1-0 2-0 11 W
23/05 Guangzhou Dandelion
China Division 2
0-0 3-1 13 W
10/05 Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves
China Division 2
2-0 2-0 53 W
04/05 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
China Division 2
1-1 2-2 48 D
29/04 Ganzhou Ruishi
China Division 2
1-0 1-2 28 L

Ganzhou Ruishi

LWWLWLWWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves
China Division 2
1-1 1-1 25 D
04/07 Hubei Istar
China Division 2
0-2 4-4 20 D
28/06 Wenzhou FC
China Division 2
1-0 1-0 04 W
24/06 Jiangxi Lushan
China Division 2
0-0 1-0 11 W
19/06 Guangdong Mingtu
China Division 2
0-1 0-2 43 L
14/06 Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
China Division 2
1-0 1-0 25 W
27/05 Guangzhou Dandelion
China Division 2
0-2 0-2 14 L
22/05 Shenzhen 2028
China Division 2
1-0 3-0 46 W
09/05 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
China Division 2
0-0 1-0 13 W
05/05 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
China Division 2
0-0 0-1 42 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Xiamen Feilu vs Ganzhou Ruishi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Xiamen Feilu win (51%). Probabilities: Xiamen Feilu 51%, draw 29%, Ganzhou Ruishi 20%.

How many goals are expected in Xiamen Feilu vs Ganzhou Ruishi?

The model expects 2.16 goals (Xiamen Feilu 1.39 · Ganzhou Ruishi 0.76), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Xiamen Feilu vs Ganzhou Ruishi?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.