Football · China Division 2 · 26/07, 10:30

Prediction: Shanghai Port Reserves vs Tai'an Tiankuang

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.16Total

Shanghai Port Reserves1.42

Tai'an Tiankuang0.74

1X2

53% 29% 19%

Shanghai Port Reserves Draw Tai'an Tiankuang

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Shanghai Port Reserves 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWDLDLWW

Tai'an Tiankuang 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWDLLDLW

Head-to-head

Shanghai Port Reserves 2–1–0 Tai'an Tiankuang (3 last)

Tai'an Tiankuang0-1Shanghai Port Reserves
Tai'an Tiankuang1-1Shanghai Port Reserves
Shanghai Port Reserves2-1Tai'an Tiankuang

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shanghai Port Reserves 1543 · Tai'an Tiankuang 1492

	Shanghai Port Reserves	Draw	Tai'an Tiankuang
Our model	52%	30%	18%
Market	53%	28%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.16 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shanghai Port Reserves (rating 1543 vs 1492).
H2H favours Shanghai Port Reserves: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Shanghai Port Reserves	Tai'an Tiankuang
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.7	0.9 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.8	2.4 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.20

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.05

Under 2.251.75

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 1.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
04:20 +2’	1.70	3.20	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Shanghai Port Reserves 2–1–0 Tai'an Tiankuang

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/05/26 China Division 2	Tai'an Tiankuang	0-1 HT 0-1	Shanghai Port Reserves
31/05/25 China Division 2	Tai'an Tiankuang	1-1 HT 0-1	Shanghai Port Reserves
22/03/25 China Division 2	Shanghai Port Reserves	2-1 HT 0-0	Tai'an Tiankuang

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shandong Taishan Reserves	17	11	2	4	25	14	35
2	Shanghai Port Reserves	16	10	4	2	29	10	34
3	Dalian Kewei	17	7	8	2	14	8	29
4	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	16	8	3	5	22	15	27
5	Tai'an Tiankuang	16	7	4	5	17	14	25
6	Dalian Young Boy Reserves	16	4	9	3	15	14	21
7	Qingdao Red Lions	17	3	8	6	14	16	17
8	Nantong Haimen Codion	16	2	9	5	16	16	15
9	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	15	2	9	4	5	10	15
10	Changchun Xidu	16	2	8	6	8	20	14
11	Shanghai Segenda	17	2	6	9	16	30	12
12	Beijing Institute	15	1	6	8	11	25	9

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shanghai Port Reserves	Tai'an Tiankuang
Changchun Xidu	2-0 W	0-1 L
Beijing Institute	5-1 W	1-1 D
Dalian Kewei	0-1 L	2-1 W
Nantong Haimen Codion	2-2 D	2-1 W
Qingdao Red Lions	1-2 L	1-0 W
Shanghai Segenda	1-1 D	0-0 D
Shandong Taishan Reserves	1-0 W	0-1 L
Dalian Young Boy Reserves	0-0 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 2 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Tai'an Tiankuang (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shanghai Port Reserves

WDWWDLDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	1-0	2-0	0	6	W
04/07	Beijing Institute China Division 2	4-1	5-1	9	1	W
27/06	Dalian Kewei China Division 2	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
23/06	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-2	2-2	3	3	D
14/06	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	0-1	1-2	4	3	L
06/06	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
26/05	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
22/05	Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2	1-0	1-0	6	5	W
10/05	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
04/05	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	1-0	1-0	–	–	W

Tai'an Tiankuang

LWWWDLLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	1-0	1-0	7	5	W
05/07	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	0-1	0-1	6	7	L
28/06	Beijing Institute China Division 2	1-1	1-1	7	2	D
24/06	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2	0-2	2-3	6	4	L
20/06	Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
13/06	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
26/05	Dalian Kewei China Division 2	2-1	2-1	3	3	W
22/05	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
09/05	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	1-0	2-1	2	1	W
04/05	Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2	0-1	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shanghai Port Reserves vs Tai'an Tiankuang?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Shanghai Port Reserves win (53%). Probabilities: Shanghai Port Reserves 53%, draw 29%, Tai'an Tiankuang 19%.

How many goals are expected in Shanghai Port Reserves vs Tai'an Tiankuang?

The model expects 2.16 goals (Shanghai Port Reserves 1.42 · Tai'an Tiankuang 0.74), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Shanghai Port Reserves vs Tai'an Tiankuang?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.