Football · China Division 2 · 26/07, 13:30
Prediction: Hubei Istar vs Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.17Total
Hubei Istar1.43
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves0.74
1X2
Hubei Istar
Draw
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Hubei Istar
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hubei Istar
0–1–0
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
(1 last)
- Wuhan Three Towns Reserves0-0Hubei Istar
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hubei Istar 1530 · Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 1439
| Hubei Istar | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 30% | 18% |
| Market | 53% | 28% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.17 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hubei Istar (rating 1530 vs 1439).
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hubei Istar | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.5 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 0.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 0/70/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 3 | 2.2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.2 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hubei Istar 0–1–0 Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/26 China Division 2 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Hubei Istar |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 31 |
| 2 | Shenzhen 2028 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 21 | 30 |
| 3 | Hubei Istar | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 29 |
| 4 | Ganzhou Ruishi | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 25 |
| 5 | Xiamen Feilu | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 25 |
| 6 | Jiangxi Lushan | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 14 | 25 |
| 7 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 23 | 21 |
| 8 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | 19 |
| 9 | Guangdong Mingtu | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 19 | 18 |
| 10 | Wenzhou FC | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 15 |
| 11 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 15 |
| 12 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 16 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 9 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hubei Istar | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| Wenzhou FC | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Ganzhou Ruishi | 4-4 D | 0-1 L |
| Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Guangzhou Dandelion | 3-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Shenzhen 2028 | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Guangdong Mingtu | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Hubei Istar (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hubei Istar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
2-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 27/06 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 23/06 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 19/06 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 14/06 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 26/05 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 22/05 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Guangxi Hengchen China FA Cup |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 10/05 | Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 04/07 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 28/06 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 24/06 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 27/05 | Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 04/05 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hubei Istar vs Wuhan Three Towns Reserves?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hubei Istar win (53%). Probabilities: Hubei Istar 53%, draw 29%, Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 19%.
How many goals are expected in Hubei Istar vs Wuhan Three Towns Reserves?
The model expects 2.17 goals (Hubei Istar 1.43 · Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 0.74), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Hubei Istar vs Wuhan Three Towns Reserves?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.