Football · China Division 2 · 26/07, 10:00
Prediction: Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Nantong Haimen Codion
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.29Total
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1.34
Nantong Haimen Codion0.95
1X2
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Draw
Nantong Haimen Codion
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Nantong Haimen Codion
1-6-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
1–1–3
Nantong Haimen Codion
(5 last)
- Nantong Haimen Codion1-1Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
- Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1-0Nantong Haimen Codion
- Nantong Haimen Codion7-0Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 1559 · Nantong Haimen Codion 1469
| Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | Draw | Nantong Haimen Codion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 30% | 25% |
| Market | 45% | 30% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shanxi Chongde Ronghai (rating 1559 vs 1469).
- H2H favours Nantong Haimen Codion: 3-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | Nantong Haimen Codion | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 2.6 | 2.6 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.5 | 3.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 1–1–3 Nantong Haimen Codion
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/26 China Division 2 | Nantong Haimen Codion | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai |
| 02/08/25 China Division 2 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Nantong Haimen Codion |
| 25/05/25 China Division 2 | Nantong Haimen Codion | 7-0 HT 4-0 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai |
| 30/06/24 China Division 2 | Nantong Haimen Codion | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai |
| 15/04/24 China Division 2 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 1-4 HT 1-1 | Nantong Haimen Codion |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shandong Taishan Reserves | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 14 | 35 |
| 2 | Shanghai Port Reserves | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 10 | 34 |
| 3 | Dalian Kewei | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 29 |
| 4 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 15 | 27 |
| 5 | Tai'an Tiankuang | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 14 | 25 |
| 6 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 21 |
| 7 | Qingdao Red Lions | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 17 |
| 8 | Nantong Haimen Codion | 16 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 15 |
| 9 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 15 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 15 |
| 10 | Changchun Xidu | 16 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 14 |
| 11 | Shanghai Segenda | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 30 | 12 |
| 12 | Beijing Institute | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 9 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | Nantong Haimen Codion |
|---|---|---|
| Dalian Young Boy Reserves | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Dalian Kewei | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Shanghai Segenda | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Shandong Taishan Reserves | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Tai'an Tiankuang | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Qingdao Red Lions | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Changchun Xidu | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 4 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Shanxi Chongde Ronghai (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 08/07 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 28/06 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 24/06 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 19/06 | Qingdao West Coast China FA Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 13/06 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 06/06 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 27/05 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 23/05 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
Nantong Haimen Codion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 27/06 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 23/06 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 19/06 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 27/05 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 04/05 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Nantong Haimen Codion?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shanxi Chongde Ronghai win (45%). Probabilities: Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 45%, draw 30%, Nantong Haimen Codion 25%.
How many goals are expected in Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Nantong Haimen Codion?
The model expects 2.29 goals (Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 1.34 · Nantong Haimen Codion 0.95), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Nantong Haimen Codion?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.