Football · China Division 2 · 26/07, 10:00

Prediction: Xiamen Feilu vs Hangzhou Linping Wuyue

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.09Total

Xiamen Feilu1.56

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue0.53

1X2

63% 25% 12%

Xiamen Feilu Draw Hangzhou Linping Wuyue

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 55%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Xiamen Feilu 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWLLDWDD

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

LWDDLWDWDD

Head-to-head

Xiamen Feilu 0–1–0 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue (1 last)

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue2-2Xiamen Feilu

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Xiamen Feilu 1530 · Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 1499

	Xiamen Feilu	Draw	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
Our model	62%	27%	11%
Market	63%	24%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 2.09 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Xiamen Feilu	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 0.6	0.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.5	1.3 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.2	3.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.42

X3.80

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)2.02

2 (+1.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 1.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
04:13 +10’	1.42	3.80	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Xiamen Feilu 0–1–0 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/05/26 China Division 2	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	2-2 HT 1-1	Xiamen Feilu

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic	16	10	1	5	23	13	31
2	Shenzhen 2028	17	8	6	3	28	21	30
3	Hubei Istar	16	8	5	3	25	17	29
4	Ganzhou Ruishi	17	6	7	4	17	15	25
5	Xiamen Feilu	16	6	7	3	24	17	25
6	Jiangxi Lushan	16	7	4	5	19	14	25
7	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	17	4	9	4	16	23	21
8	Guangzhou Dandelion	17	5	4	8	18	23	19
9	Guangdong Mingtu	17	3	9	5	17	19	18
10	Wenzhou FC	16	3	6	7	11	19	15
11	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	17	3	6	8	10	18	15
12	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	16	1	6	9	9	18	9

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Xiamen Feilu	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
Shenzhen 2028	0-0 D	1-3 L
Guangdong Mingtu	2-1 W	1-1 D
Hubei Istar	0-0 D	1-0 W
Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic	0-1 L	0-7 L
Wenzhou FC	0-1 L	0-0 D
Jiangxi Lushan	2-0 W	2-1 W
Guangzhou Dandelion	3-1 W	1-1 D
Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	2-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Xiamen Feilu (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Xiamen Feilu

DWWWLLDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2	0-0	0-0	9	5	D
05/07	Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
27/06	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	1-1	2-1	3	4	W
23/06	Hubei Istar China Division 2	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
19/06	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
13/06	Wenzhou FC China Division 2	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
27/05	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	1-0	2-0	1	1	W
23/05	Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2	0-0	3-1	1	3	W
10/05	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	2-0	2-0	5	3	W
04/05	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2	1-1	2-2	4	8	D

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue

LWDDLWDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
12/07	Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
08/07	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	1-0	2-1	1	4	W
05/07	Wenzhou FC China Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
28/06	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	0-0	1-0	1	1	W
24/06	Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2	1-1	1-3	2	2	L
19/06	Dalian Young Boy China FA Cup	0-1	1-1	2	6	D
13/06	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	0-0	1-1	1	3	D
26/05	Hubei Istar China Division 2	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
22/05	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2	0-3	0-7	3	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Xiamen Feilu vs Hangzhou Linping Wuyue?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Xiamen Feilu win (63%). Probabilities: Xiamen Feilu 63%, draw 25%, Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 12%.

How many goals are expected in Xiamen Feilu vs Hangzhou Linping Wuyue?

The model expects 2.09 goals (Xiamen Feilu 1.56 · Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 0.53), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Xiamen Feilu vs Hangzhou Linping Wuyue?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.