Prediction: Leevon PPK vs FK Beitar Riga/Mariners
| Leevon PPK | Draw | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 24% | 48% |
| Market | 29% | 22% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Leevon PPK | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1 | 3.1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.7 | 2.5 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.6 | 4.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leevon PPK 0–1–1 FK Beitar Riga/Mariners
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/25 Latvia 1. Liga | Leevon PPK | 2-3 HT 0-1 | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners |
| 19/04/25 Latvia 1. Liga | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Leevon PPK |
Standings · Latvia 1. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metta/LU | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 42 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | Valmiera FC | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 12 | 29 |
| 3 | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 25 | 10 | 28 |
| 4 | Saldus SS/Leevon | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 15 | 24 |
| 5 | JDFS Alberts | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 20 | 20 |
| 6 | Marupes SC | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 15 | 19 |
| 7 | SK Super Nova II | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 19 |
| 8 | Riga FC II | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 22 | 16 |
| 9 | Skanstes SK | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 24 | 13 |
| 10 | JFK Ventspils | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 20 | 10 |
| 11 | RFS II | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 9 |
| 12 | FK Tukums 2000/TSS II | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 31 | 8 |
| 13 | Rezeknes FA | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 5 |
| 14 | FK Smiltene/BJSS | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 33 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Leevon PPK | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| FK Smiltene/BJSS | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Marupes SC | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Rezeknes FA | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Skanstes SK | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Beitar Riga/Mariners (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leevon PPK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05 | JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 16/05 | RFS II Latvia 1. Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | Riga FC II Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 8 | W |
| 02/05 | FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga |
2-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga |
2-2 | 3-2 | 11 | 7 | W |
| 18/04 | FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 12/04 | Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 28/03 | Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 22/03 | Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 08/11 | JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
FK Beitar Riga/Mariners
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | BFC Daugavpils Latvia Cup |
2-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 04/07 | JDFS Alberts Latvia 1. Liga |
2-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 20/06 | JDFS Alberts Latvia Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 14/06 | Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 30/05 | Rfk/Rfs Latvia Cup |
2-0 | 11-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga |
0-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 09/05 | FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 8 | W |
| 02/05 | Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leevon PPK vs FK Beitar Riga/Mariners?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Beitar Riga/Mariners win (48%). Probabilities: Leevon PPK 28%, draw 23%, FK Beitar Riga/Mariners 48%.
How many goals are expected in Leevon PPK vs FK Beitar Riga/Mariners?
The model expects 3.36 goals (Leevon PPK 1.44 · FK Beitar Riga/Mariners 1.92), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Leevon PPK vs FK Beitar Riga/Mariners?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.