Football · Latvia 1. Liga · 27/07, 18:00

Prediction: Metta/LU vs FK Tukums 2000/TSS II

Team pages: Metta/LU · FK Tukums 2000/TSS II

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.5Total
Metta/LU3.25
FK Tukums 2000/TSS II1.25
1X2
82% 11% 7%
Metta/LU Draw FK Tukums 2000/TSS II
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
Metta/LU 9-1-0 (W-D-L)
WWDWWWWWWW
FK Tukums 2000/TSS II 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
WLLWDLLLLW
Head-to-head
Metta/LU 1–0 FK Tukums 2000/TSS II (1 last)
  • FK Tukums 2000/TSS II1-3Metta/LU
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Metta/LU 1633 · FK Tukums 2000/TSS II 1448
Metta/LUDrawFK Tukums 2000/TSS II
Our model76%14%11%
Market87%8%5%
Estimated total (ours) 4.5 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Metta/LU (rating 1633 vs 1448).
  • High corners: 14.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Metta/LUFK Tukums 2000/TSS II
Goals for / against (FT)3.8 / 0.91.4 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)2.2 / 0.10.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)90/0/10%10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)4 / 8.62.9 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.7 / 0.12.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Metta/LU 100 FK Tukums 2000/TSS II

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/03/26
Latvia 1. Liga
FK Tukums 2000/TSS II1-3
HT 1-2
Metta/LU

Standings · Latvia 1. Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Metta/LU 131111 461134
2 Valmiera FC 131021 351232
3 Saldus SS/Leevon 14932 241730
4 FK Beitar Riga/Mariners 14851 271329
5 JDFS Alberts 14734 292224
6 Marupes SC 14716 242022
7 SK Super Nova II 14554 212020
8 Riga FC II 13616 212319
9 Skanstes SK 14419 212913
10 RFS II 14338 203112
11 JFK Ventspils 14257 172411
12 FK Tukums 2000/TSS II 13328 183111
13 FK Smiltene/BJSS 14149 16387
14 Rezeknes FA 141211 11395

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMetta/LUFK Tukums 2000/TSS II
Marupes SC 4-0 W 1-2 L
Skanstes SK 3-1 W 2-0 W
SK Super Nova II 7-3 W 1-3 L
JDFS Alberts 4-1 W 1-6 L
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 0 L 1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Metta/LU (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Metta/LU

WWDWWWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 Marupes SC
Latvia 1. Liga
1-0 4-0 74 W
10/07 SK Speks
Latvia Cup
0-1 3-1 144 W
04/07 Skanstes SK
Latvia 1. Liga
1-0 3-1 102 W
28/06 Saldus SS/Leevon
Latvia 1. Liga
2-0 3-1 33 W
20/06 FK Kekava/Auda
Latvia Cup
3-0 5-0 101 W
13/06 SK Super Nova II
Latvia 1. Liga
5-0 7-3 43 W
31/05 FK Lielupe
Latvia Cup
4-0 6-0 190 W
23/05 FK Beitar Riga/Mariners
Latvia 1. Liga
2-0 2-2 D
16/05 JDFS Alberts
Latvia 1. Liga
3-0 4-1 43 W
09/05 JFK Ventspils
Latvia 1. Liga
1-0 1-0 65 W

FK Tukums 2000/TSS II

WLLWDLLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/07 RFS II
Latvia 1. Liga
0-0 2-0 93 W
04/07 Riga FC II
Latvia 1. Liga
0-0 0-2 L
27/06 SK Super Nova II
Latvia 1. Liga
0-2 1-3 83 L
14/06 Valmiera FC
Latvia 1. Liga
0-1 1-4 91 L
31/05 JDFS Alberts
Latvia 1. Liga
0-2 1-6 L
24/05 FK Smiltene/BJSS
Latvia 1. Liga
0-0 1-1 43 D
16/05 Rezeknes FA
Latvia 1. Liga
1-1 4-1 W
09/05 Marupes SC
Latvia 1. Liga
0-2 1-2 31 L
02/05 Leevon PPK
Latvia 1. Liga
1-2 1-4 53 L
27/04 Skanstes SK
Latvia 1. Liga
1-0 2-0 44 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Metta/LU vs FK Tukums 2000/TSS II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Metta/LU win (82%). Probabilities: Metta/LU 82%, draw 11%, FK Tukums 2000/TSS II 7%.

How many goals are expected in Metta/LU vs FK Tukums 2000/TSS II?

The model expects 4.5 goals (Metta/LU 3.25 · FK Tukums 2000/TSS II 1.25), with a 52% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Metta/LU vs FK Tukums 2000/TSS II?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.