Football · Australia A-League · 30/10, 10:00
Prediction: Brisbane Roar vs Auckland FC
Team pages: Brisbane Roar · Auckland FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.88Total
Brisbane Roar1.33
Auckland FC1.56
1X2
Brisbane Roar
Draw
Auckland FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Brisbane Roar
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Auckland FC
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Brisbane Roar
0–1–3
Auckland FC
(4 last)
- Brisbane Roar0-2Auckland FC
- Auckland FC1-1Brisbane Roar
- Brisbane Roar0-2Auckland FC
- Auckland FC2-0Brisbane Roar
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Brisbane Roar 1502 · Auckland FC 1481
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Auckland FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 27% | 42% |
| Market | 31% | 27% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Auckland FC: 3-1-0.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Brisbane Roar | Auckland FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.5 | 1.6 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.8 | 2.5 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0 | 4.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brisbane Roar 0–1–3 Auckland FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01/26 Australia A-League | Brisbane Roar | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Auckland FC |
| 23/11/25 Australia A-League | Auckland FC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Brisbane Roar |
| 30/03/25 Australia A-League | Brisbane Roar | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Auckland FC |
| 19/10/24 Australia A-League | Auckland FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Brisbane Roar |
Standings · Australia A-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wellington Phoenix | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Macarthur FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Sydney FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Brisbane Roar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Auckland FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 7 | Newcastle Jets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 8 | Melbourne Victory | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 9 | Melbourne City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 11 | Adelaide United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Perth Glory | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Brisbane Roar | Auckland FC |
|---|---|---|
| Melbourne City | 2-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Central Coast Mariners | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Sydney FC | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | 2-2 D | 2-5 L |
| Melbourne Victory | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 4 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brisbane Roar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Perth Glory Australia A-League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Perth Glory Australia A-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 18/04 | Melbourne City Australia A-League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 10/04 | Central Coast Mariners Australia A-League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 02/04 | Sydney FC Australia A-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 21/03 | Wellington Phoenix Australia A-League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 13/03 | Western Sydney Wanderers Australia A-League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 28/02 | Perth Glory Australia A-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 21/02 | Sydney FC Australia A-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 14/02 | Melbourne Victory Australia A-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
Auckland FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Western Sydney Wanderers Australia A-League |
1-1 | 2-5 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 17/10 | Melbourne City Australia A-League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Sydney FC Australia A-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 15/05 | Adelaide United Australia A-League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Adelaide United Australia A-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Melbourne City Australia A-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | Sydney FC Australia A-League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 19/04 | Central Coast Mariners Australia A-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 6 | L |
| 11/04 | Melbourne Victory Australia A-League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 03/04 | Adelaide United Australia A-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 10 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brisbane Roar vs Auckland FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Auckland FC win (42%). Probabilities: Brisbane Roar 31%, draw 27%, Auckland FC 42%.
How many goals are expected in Brisbane Roar vs Auckland FC?
The model expects 2.88 goals (Brisbane Roar 1.33 · Auckland FC 1.56), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Brisbane Roar vs Auckland FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.