Prediction: Macarthur FC vs Brisbane Roar
Team pages: Macarthur FC · Brisbane Roar
- Macarthur FC2-1Brisbane Roar
- Brisbane Roar1-0Macarthur FC
- Brisbane Roar1-5Macarthur FC
- Macarthur FC4-4Brisbane Roar
- Brisbane Roar1-2Macarthur FC
- Brisbane Roar1-3Macarthur FC
| Macarthur FC | Draw | Brisbane Roar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 26% | 32% |
| Market | 42% | 27% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Macarthur FC: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Macarthur FC | Brisbane Roar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.8 | 1.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.9 | 2.4 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 4.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Macarthur FC 4–1–1 Brisbane Roar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/12/25 Australia A-League | Macarthur FC | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Brisbane Roar |
| 17/10/25 Australia A-League | Brisbane Roar | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Macarthur FC |
| 04/04/25 Australia A-League | Brisbane Roar | 1-5 HT 1-1 | Macarthur FC |
| 30/11/24 Australia A-League | Macarthur FC | 4-4 HT 1-2 | Brisbane Roar |
| 16/03/24 Australia A-League | Brisbane Roar | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Macarthur FC |
| 18/01/24 Australia A-League | Brisbane Roar | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Macarthur FC |
Standings · Australia A-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wellington Phoenix | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Macarthur FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 4 | Brisbane Roar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Auckland FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
| 7 | Melbourne City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | Perth Glory | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| 9 | Melbourne Victory | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 10 | Central Coast Mariners | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| 11 | Newcastle Jets | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| 12 | Adelaide United | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Macarthur FC | Brisbane Roar |
|---|---|---|
| Western Sydney Wanderers | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Perth Glory | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Wellington Phoenix | 4-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Auckland FC | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Central Coast Mariners | 1-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Macarthur FC (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Macarthur FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Western Sydney Wanderers Australia A-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 24/10 | Newcastle Jets Australia A-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 17/10 | Perth Glory Australia A-League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 24/04 | Wellington Phoenix Australia A-League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Adelaide United Australia A-League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 12/04 | Perth Glory Australia A-League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 02/04 | Newcastle Jets Australia A-League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 21/03 | Auckland FC Australia A-League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 15/03 | Melbourne Victory Australia A-League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 04/03 | Central Coast Mariners Australia A-League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
Brisbane Roar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Auckland FC Australia A-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 3 | D |
| 23/10 | Perth Glory Australia A-League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Perth Glory Australia A-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 18/04 | Melbourne City Australia A-League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 10/04 | Central Coast Mariners Australia A-League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 02/04 | Sydney FC Australia A-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 21/03 | Wellington Phoenix Australia A-League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 13/03 | Western Sydney Wanderers Australia A-League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 28/02 | Perth Glory Australia A-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 21/02 | Sydney FC Australia A-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Macarthur FC vs Brisbane Roar?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Macarthur FC win (42%). Probabilities: Macarthur FC 42%, draw 26%, Brisbane Roar 32%.
How many goals are expected in Macarthur FC vs Brisbane Roar?
The model expects 3.14 goals (Macarthur FC 1.69 · Brisbane Roar 1.45), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Macarthur FC vs Brisbane Roar?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.