Football · Australia A-League · 07/11, 11:45
Prediction: Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets
Team pages: Perth Glory · Newcastle Jets
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.37Total
Perth Glory1.62
Newcastle Jets1.74
1X2
Perth Glory
Draw
Newcastle Jets
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Perth Glory
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Newcastle Jets
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Perth Glory
1–3–2
Newcastle Jets
(6 last)
- Perth Glory1-3Newcastle Jets
- Newcastle Jets1-2Perth Glory
- Newcastle Jets2-2Perth Glory
- Perth Glory0-4Newcastle Jets
- Perth Glory2-2Newcastle Jets
- Newcastle Jets2-2Perth Glory
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Perth Glory 1490 · Newcastle Jets 1451
| Perth Glory | Draw | Newcastle Jets | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 25% | 40% |
| Market | 35% | 25% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.37 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Newcastle Jets: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Perth Glory | Newcastle Jets | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.8 / 2.6 | 2.6 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | 3.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Perth Glory 1–3–2 Newcastle Jets
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/02/26 Australia A-League | Perth Glory | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Newcastle Jets |
| 23/11/25 Australia A-League | Newcastle Jets | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Perth Glory |
| 25/01/25 Australia A-League | Newcastle Jets | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Perth Glory |
| 14/12/24 Australia A-League | Perth Glory | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Newcastle Jets |
| 09/03/24 Australia A-League | Perth Glory | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Newcastle Jets |
| 16/12/23 Australia A-League | Newcastle Jets | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Perth Glory |
Standings · Australia A-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wellington Phoenix | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Macarthur FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 4 | Brisbane Roar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Auckland FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
| 7 | Melbourne City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | Melbourne Victory | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| 10 | Newcastle Jets | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| 11 | Adelaide United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Perth Glory | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Perth Glory | Newcastle Jets |
|---|---|---|
| Macarthur FC | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Sydney FC | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Central Coast Mariners | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Wellington Phoenix | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 2 L | 0 W 3 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Perth Glory
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Brisbane Roar Australia A-League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 17/10 | Macarthur FC Australia A-League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Brisbane Roar Australia A-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 18/04 | Sydney FC Australia A-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 12/04 | Macarthur FC Australia A-League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 04/04 | Central Coast Mariners Australia A-League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 22/03 | Melbourne City Australia A-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 14/03 | Wellington Phoenix Australia A-League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 08/03 | Auckland FC Australia A-League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 28/02 | Brisbane Roar Australia A-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
Newcastle Jets
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Wellington Phoenix Australia A-League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 24/10 | Macarthur FC Australia A-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 17/10 | Central Coast Mariners Australia A-League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 16/05 | Sydney FC Australia A-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 10 | D |
| 09/05 | Sydney FC Australia A-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Central Coast Mariners Australia A-League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 17/04 | Melbourne Victory Australia A-League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 11/04 | Adelaide United Australia A-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 02/04 | Macarthur FC Australia A-League |
2-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 22/03 | Sydney FC Australia A-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Newcastle Jets win (40%). Probabilities: Perth Glory 35%, draw 25%, Newcastle Jets 40%.
How many goals are expected in Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets?
The model expects 3.37 goals (Perth Glory 1.62 · Newcastle Jets 1.74), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.