Football · Australia A-League · 16/10, 11:00
Prediction: Sydney FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers
Team pages: Sydney FC · Western Sydney Wanderers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.93Total
Sydney FC1.64
Western Sydney Wanderers1.29
1X2
Sydney FC
Draw
Western Sydney Wanderers
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Sydney FC
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Western Sydney Wanderers
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sydney FC
4–1–1
Western Sydney Wanderers
(6 last)
- Western Sydney Wanderers0-2Sydney FC
- Sydney FC4-1Western Sydney Wanderers
- Western Sydney Wanderers1-0Sydney FC
- Sydney FC3-3Western Sydney Wanderers
- Sydney FC4-2Western Sydney Wanderers
- Western Sydney Wanderers1-2Sydney FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sydney FC 1535 · Western Sydney Wanderers 1459
| Sydney FC | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 26% | 29% |
| Market | 45% | 25% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sydney FC (rating 1535 vs 1459).
- H2H favours Sydney FC: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sydney FC | Western Sydney Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 1.4 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.1 | 1.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/80/10% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.9 | 2.5 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0 | 3.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sydney FC 4–1–1 Western Sydney Wanderers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Australia A-League | Western Sydney Wanderers | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Sydney FC |
| 31/01/26 Australia A-League | Sydney FC | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 29/11/25 Australia A-League | Western Sydney Wanderers | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sydney FC |
| 08/02/25 Australia A-League | Sydney FC | 3-3 HT 1-2 | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 23/11/24 Australia A-League | Sydney FC | 4-2 HT 1-1 | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 19/10/24 Australia A-League | Western Sydney Wanderers | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Sydney FC |
Standings · Australia A-League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adelaide United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Auckland FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Brisbane Roar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Central Coast Mariners | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Macarthur FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Melbourne City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Melbourne Victory | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Perth Glory | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sydney FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wellington Phoenix | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sydney FC | Western Sydney Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Newcastle Jets | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Melbourne Victory | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Brisbane Roar | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Melbourne City | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Sydney FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sydney FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05 | Auckland FC Australia A-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Newcastle Jets Australia A-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 10 | D |
| 09/05 | Newcastle Jets Australia A-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Melbourne Victory Australia A-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Auckland FC Australia A-League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Perth Glory Australia A-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | Western Sydney Wanderers Australia A-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 02/04 | Brisbane Roar Australia A-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 22/03 | Newcastle Jets Australia A-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 17/03 | Melbourne City Australia A-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
Western Sydney Wanderers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04 | Melbourne Victory Australia A-League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Wellington Phoenix Australia A-League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 11/04 | Sydney FC Australia A-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 04/04 | Melbourne City Australia A-League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 20/03 | Adelaide United Australia A-League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 13/03 | Brisbane Roar Australia A-League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 07/03 | Newcastle Jets Australia A-League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 28/02 | Macarthur FC Australia A-League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 22/02 | Central Coast Mariners Australia A-League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 13/02 | Wellington Phoenix Australia A-League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sydney FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sydney FC win (45%). Probabilities: Sydney FC 45%, draw 26%, Western Sydney Wanderers 30%.
How many goals are expected in Sydney FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers?
The model expects 2.93 goals (Sydney FC 1.64 · Western Sydney Wanderers 1.29), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sydney FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.