Football · Australia A-League · 24/10, 08:00
Prediction: Western Sydney Wanderers vs Auckland FC
Team pages: Western Sydney Wanderers · Auckland FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.8Total
Western Sydney Wanderers1.35
Auckland FC1.45
1X2
Western Sydney Wanderers
Draw
Auckland FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Western Sydney Wanderers
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Auckland FC
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Western Sydney Wanderers
1–1–3
Auckland FC
(5 last)
- Auckland FC1-3Western Sydney Wanderers
- Western Sydney Wanderers0-2Auckland FC
- Auckland FC1-0Western Sydney Wanderers
- Auckland FC1-1Western Sydney Wanderers
- Western Sydney Wanderers0-1Auckland FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Western Sydney Wanderers 1453 · Auckland FC 1506
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Auckland FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 28% | 38% |
| Market | 35% | 27% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Auckland FC (rating 1453 vs 1506).
- H2H favours Auckland FC: 3-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Auckland FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2 | 1.5 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.4 | 2.4 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 4.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Western Sydney Wanderers 1–1–3 Auckland FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/26 Australia Friendlies | Auckland FC | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 19/12/25 Australia A-League | Western Sydney Wanderers | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Auckland FC |
| 25/10/25 Australia A-League | Auckland FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 05/04/25 Australia A-League | Auckland FC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 26/01/25 Australia A-League | Western Sydney Wanderers | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Auckland FC |
Standings · Australia A-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auckland FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Macarthur FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Wellington Phoenix | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Central Coast Mariners | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 4 | Newcastle Jets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 6 | Sydney FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Adelaide United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Melbourne Victory | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Melbourne City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Western Sydney Wanderers | Auckland FC |
|---|---|---|
| Sydney FC | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Melbourne Victory | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Melbourne City | 0-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Adelaide United | 2-4 L | 3-0 W |
| Macarthur FC | 4-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Central Coast Mariners | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Auckland FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Western Sydney Wanderers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Sydney FC Australia A-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 25/04 | Melbourne Victory Australia A-League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Wellington Phoenix Australia A-League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 11/04 | Sydney FC Australia A-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 04/04 | Melbourne City Australia A-League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 20/03 | Adelaide United Australia A-League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 13/03 | Brisbane Roar Australia A-League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 07/03 | Newcastle Jets Australia A-League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 28/02 | Macarthur FC Australia A-League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 22/02 | Central Coast Mariners Australia A-League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
Auckland FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Melbourne City Australia A-League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Sydney FC Australia A-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 15/05 | Adelaide United Australia A-League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Adelaide United Australia A-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Melbourne City Australia A-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | Sydney FC Australia A-League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 19/04 | Central Coast Mariners Australia A-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 6 | L |
| 11/04 | Melbourne Victory Australia A-League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 03/04 | Adelaide United Australia A-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 21/03 | Macarthur FC Australia A-League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Western Sydney Wanderers vs Auckland FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Auckland FC win (39%). Probabilities: Western Sydney Wanderers 34%, draw 27%, Auckland FC 39%.
How many goals are expected in Western Sydney Wanderers vs Auckland FC?
The model expects 2.8 goals (Western Sydney Wanderers 1.35 · Auckland FC 1.45), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Western Sydney Wanderers vs Auckland FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.