Football · Australia A-League · 31/10, 09:40
Prediction: Macarthur FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers
Team pages: Macarthur FC · Western Sydney Wanderers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.23Total
Macarthur FC1.69
Western Sydney Wanderers1.53
1X2
Macarthur FC
Draw
Western Sydney Wanderers
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Macarthur FC
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Western Sydney Wanderers
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Macarthur FC
2–1–3
Western Sydney Wanderers
(6 last)
- Macarthur FC0-4Western Sydney Wanderers
- Western Sydney Wanderers0-1Macarthur FC
- Macarthur FC1-1Western Sydney Wanderers
- Macarthur FC1-3Western Sydney Wanderers
- Western Sydney Wanderers2-1Macarthur FC
- Western Sydney Wanderers2-3Macarthur FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Macarthur FC 1520 · Western Sydney Wanderers 1479
| Macarthur FC | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 25% | 34% |
| Market | 41% | 25% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.23 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Macarthur FC (rating 1520 vs 1479).
- H2H favours Western Sydney Wanderers: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Macarthur FC | Western Sydney Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2.2 | 1.5 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.1 | 2.9 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Macarthur FC 2–1–3 Western Sydney Wanderers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 Australia A-League | Macarthur FC | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 01/01/26 Australia A-League | Western Sydney Wanderers | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Macarthur FC |
| 01/11/25 Australia A-League | Macarthur FC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 03/05/25 Australia A-League | Macarthur FC | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 16/02/25 Australia A-League | Western Sydney Wanderers | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Macarthur FC |
| 01/01/25 Australia A-League | Western Sydney Wanderers | 2-3 HT 1-3 | Macarthur FC |
Standings · Australia A-League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wellington Phoenix | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Macarthur FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Sydney FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Brisbane Roar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Auckland FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 7 | Newcastle Jets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 8 | Melbourne Victory | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 9 | Melbourne City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 11 | Adelaide United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Perth Glory | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Macarthur FC | Western Sydney Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Newcastle Jets | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Wellington Phoenix | 4-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Adelaide United | 1-3 L | 2-4 L |
| Auckland FC | 2-1 W | 5-2 W |
| Melbourne Victory | 1-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Macarthur FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Newcastle Jets Australia A-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 17/10 | Perth Glory Australia A-League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 24/04 | Wellington Phoenix Australia A-League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Adelaide United Australia A-League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 12/04 | Perth Glory Australia A-League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 02/04 | Newcastle Jets Australia A-League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 21/03 | Auckland FC Australia A-League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 15/03 | Melbourne Victory Australia A-League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 04/03 | Central Coast Mariners Australia A-League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 28/02 | Western Sydney Wanderers Australia A-League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 8 | 4 | L |
Western Sydney Wanderers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Auckland FC Australia A-League |
1-1 | 5-2 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 16/10 | Sydney FC Australia A-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 25/04 | Melbourne Victory Australia A-League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Wellington Phoenix Australia A-League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 11/04 | Sydney FC Australia A-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 04/04 | Melbourne City Australia A-League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 20/03 | Adelaide United Australia A-League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 13/03 | Brisbane Roar Australia A-League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 07/03 | Newcastle Jets Australia A-League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 28/02 | Macarthur FC Australia A-League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Macarthur FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Macarthur FC win (41%). Probabilities: Macarthur FC 41%, draw 25%, Western Sydney Wanderers 34%.
How many goals are expected in Macarthur FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers?
The model expects 3.23 goals (Macarthur FC 1.69 · Western Sydney Wanderers 1.53), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Macarthur FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.