Prediction: Real Espana vs Genesis de Comayagua
Team pages: Real Espana · Genesis de Comayagua
- Real Espana2-1Genesis de Comayagua
- Genesis de Comayagua1-2Real Espana
- Real Espana1-0Genesis de Comayagua
- Genesis de Comayagua1-1Real Espana
| Real Espana | Draw | Genesis de Comayagua | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 24% | 14% |
| Market | 62% | 23% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Espana (rating 1559 vs 1518).
- H2H favours Real Espana: 3-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Real Espana | Genesis de Comayagua | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.3 | 1.4 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.4 | 1.6 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.7 | 3.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Espana 3–1–0 Genesis de Comayagua
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/03/26 Honduras Liga Nacional | Real Espana | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Genesis de Comayagua |
| 28/01/26 Honduras Liga Nacional | Genesis de Comayagua | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Real Espana |
| 27/11/25 Honduras Liga Nacional | Real Espana | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Genesis de Comayagua |
| 15/09/25 Honduras Liga Nacional | Genesis de Comayagua | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Real Espana |
Standings · Honduras Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Motagua | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Real Espana | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Genesis de Comayagua | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | CD Olimpia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | CD Marathon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Olancho FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | CA Independiente Siguatepeque | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 7 | Estrella Roja | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 9 | Atletico Choloma | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 9 | Lobos UPNFM | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Juticalpa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | CD Platense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Real Espana | Genesis de Comayagua |
|---|---|---|
| CD Platense | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| CD Marathon | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| CD Victoria | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Lobos UPNFM | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Atletico Choloma | 2-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 4 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Genesis de Comayagua (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Real Espana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | CD Platense Honduras Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 19/05 | CD Marathon Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 13/05 | CD Olimpia Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | CD Olimpia Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | CD Marathon Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 01/05 | CD Victoria Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | CD Olimpia Honduras Liga Nacional |
2-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 23/04 | CD Platense Honduras Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 13/04 | Lobos UPNFM Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 10/04 | Atletico Choloma Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 10 | L |
Genesis de Comayagua
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Atletico Choloma Honduras Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 19/05 | Motagua Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 15/05 | Olancho FC Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 07/05 | Olancho FC Honduras Liga Nacional |
2-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 04/05 | Motagua Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 01/05 | Olancho FC Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 27/04 | CD Victoria Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 24/04 | Lobos UPNFM Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | CD Marathon Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 08/04 | CD Platense Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Real Espana vs Genesis de Comayagua?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Espana win (62%). Probabilities: Real Espana 62%, draw 23%, Genesis de Comayagua 15%.
How many goals are expected in Real Espana vs Genesis de Comayagua?
The model expects 2.57 goals (Real Espana 1.81 · Genesis de Comayagua 0.76), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Real Espana vs Genesis de Comayagua?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.