Football · Honduras Liga Nacional · 10/08, 03:30
Prediction: CA Independiente Siguatepeque vs Atletico Choloma
Team pages: CA Independiente Siguatepeque · Atletico Choloma
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.17Total
CA Independiente Siguatepeque1.81
Atletico Choloma1.36
1X2
CA Independiente Siguatepeque
Draw
Atletico Choloma
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
CA Independiente Siguatepeque
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Atletico Choloma
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA Independiente Siguatepeque
0–3–3
Atletico Choloma
(6 last)
- Atletico Choloma2-1CA Independiente Siguatepeque
- CA Independiente Siguatepeque1-1Atletico Choloma
- CA Independiente Siguatepeque2-2Atletico Choloma
- Atletico Choloma1-0CA Independiente Siguatepeque
- CA Independiente Siguatepeque2-2Atletico Choloma
- Atletico Choloma2-0CA Independiente Siguatepeque
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Independiente Siguatepeque 1529 · Atletico Choloma 1500
| CA Independiente Siguatepeque | Draw | Atletico Choloma | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 25% | 28% |
| Market | 47% | 26% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.17 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Atletico Choloma: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Independiente Siguatepeque | Atletico Choloma | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.9 | 1.6 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/33/33% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.3 | 2.1 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.3 | 4.6 / 0.9 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Independiente Siguatepeque 0–3–3 Atletico Choloma
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06/25 Honduras Liga de Ascenso | Atletico Choloma | 2-1 HT 1-0 | CA Independiente Siguatepeque |
| 01/06/25 Honduras Liga de Ascenso | CA Independiente Siguatepeque | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Atletico Choloma |
| 20/10/22 Honduras Liga de Ascenso | CA Independiente Siguatepeque | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Atletico Choloma |
| 26/09/21 Honduras Liga de Ascenso | Atletico Choloma | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CA Independiente Siguatepeque |
| 01/04/21 Honduras Liga de Ascenso | CA Independiente Siguatepeque | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Atletico Choloma |
| 12/03/21 Honduras Liga de Ascenso | Atletico Choloma | 2-0 HT 1-0 | CA Independiente Siguatepeque |
Standings · Honduras Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Motagua | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Real Espana | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Genesis de Comayagua | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | CD Olimpia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | CD Marathon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Olancho FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | CA Independiente Siguatepeque | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 7 | Estrella Roja | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 9 | Atletico Choloma | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 9 | Lobos UPNFM | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Juticalpa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | CD Platense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Independiente Siguatepeque
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | CD Marathon Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 12/04 | CD Real Sociedad Honduras Liga de Ascenso |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 9 | D |
| 05/04 | CD Real Sociedad Honduras Liga de Ascenso |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/03 | CD FAS San Lorenzo Honduras Liga de Ascenso |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/03 | Real Tegus Honduras Liga de Ascenso |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/03 | CD Piratas Honduras Liga de Ascenso |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 14/03 | Marcala JR CF Honduras Liga de Ascenso |
– | 6-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/03 | Affi Academia Honduras Liga de Ascenso |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/02 | CD FAS San Lorenzo Honduras Liga de Ascenso |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 26/02 | Real Tegus Honduras Liga de Ascenso |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Atletico Choloma
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Genesis de Comayagua Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | CD Marathon Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 27/04 | Motagua Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | CD Olimpia Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/04 | CD Victoria Honduras Liga Nacional |
3-0 | 5-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 10/04 | Real Espana Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 3-2 | 0 | 10 | W |
| 05/04 | Olancho FC Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 02/04 | CD Platense Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 25/03 | Genesis de Comayagua Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 9 | L |
| 21/03 | Lobos UPNFM Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Independiente Siguatepeque vs Atletico Choloma?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Independiente Siguatepeque win (47%). Probabilities: CA Independiente Siguatepeque 47%, draw 26%, Atletico Choloma 28%.
How many goals are expected in CA Independiente Siguatepeque vs Atletico Choloma?
The model expects 3.17 goals (CA Independiente Siguatepeque 1.81 · Atletico Choloma 1.36), with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Independiente Siguatepeque vs Atletico Choloma?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.