Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 19/07, 00:00
Prediction: GV San Jose vs The Strongest
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.91Total
GV San Jose1.25
The Strongest1.66
1X2
GV San Jose
Draw
The Strongest
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
GV San Jose
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
The Strongest
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
GV San Jose
2–4
The Strongest
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · GV San Jose 1435 · The Strongest 1586
| GV San Jose | Draw | The Strongest | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 26% | 46% |
| Market | 29% | 25% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.91 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours The Strongest (rating 1435 vs 1586).
- H2H favours The Strongest: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| GV San Jose | The Strongest | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.1 | 1.9 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.8 | 2.7 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.7 / 0.4 | 4.5 / 0.9 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · GV San Jose 2–0–4 The Strongest
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | GV San Jose | 3-2 HT 0-1 | The Strongest |
| 07/10/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | The Strongest | 1-0 HT 0-0 | GV San Jose |
| 23/08/25 Bolivia Primera Division | The Strongest | 2-1 HT 1-1 | GV San Jose |
| 13/04/25 Bolivia Primera Division | GV San Jose | 0-4 HT 0-1 | The Strongest |
| 30/10/24 Bolivia Clausura | The Strongest | 3-2 HT 2-1 | GV San Jose |
| 20/07/24 Bolivia Clausura | GV San Jose | 5-2 HT 2-2 | The Strongest |
Standings · Bolivia Primera Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Always Ready | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 5 | 20 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | Club Aurora | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Bolivar | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 15 |
| 5 | Blooming | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 13 |
| 6 | Nacional Potosi | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 12 |
| 7 | Independiente Petrolero | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| 8 | Real Oruro | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 22 | 11 |
| 9 | Guabira | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 20 | 11 |
| 10 | Real Potosi | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 11 | Universitario De Vinto | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 10 |
| 12 | Oriente Petrolero | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 10 |
| 13 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 9 |
| 14 | Real Tomayapo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 8 |
| 15 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 7 |
| 16 | GV San Jose | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | GV San Jose | The Strongest |
|---|---|---|
| Blooming | 1-1 D | 4-0 W |
| Real Oruro | 1-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Real Tomayapo | 3-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Bolivar | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Oriente Petrolero | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 4 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: The Strongest (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
GV San Jose
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Blooming Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 11/07 | Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 08/07 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 3-2 | 15 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Guabira Bolivia Primera Division |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 22/04 | Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 13/04 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 05/04 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 24/03 | Blooming America Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
The Strongest
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 12/07 | Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 14/05 | Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 9 | D |
| 03/05 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division |
1-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 24/04 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 12/04 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 05/04 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 02/04 | Blooming America Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in GV San Jose vs The Strongest?
According to our model, the most likely result is an The Strongest win (46%). Probabilities: GV San Jose 28%, draw 26%, The Strongest 46%.
How many goals are expected in GV San Jose vs The Strongest?
The model expects 2.91 goals (GV San Jose 1.25 · The Strongest 1.66), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in GV San Jose vs The Strongest?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.