Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 26/07, 21:00

Prediction: Blooming vs The Strongest

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.73Total

Blooming1.5

The Strongest1.23

1X2

43% 27% 31%

Blooming Draw The Strongest

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Blooming 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LDLDLLLWDW

The Strongest 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

WWDWWDWDWD

Head-to-head

Blooming 2–4 The Strongest (6 last)

The Strongest4-0Blooming
Blooming1-2The Strongest
The Strongest3-2Blooming

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Blooming 1444 · The Strongest 1593

	Blooming	Draw	The Strongest
Our model	42%	28%	30%
Market	43%	26%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours The Strongest (rating 1444 vs 1593).
H2H favours The Strongest: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Blooming	The Strongest
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 1.8	1.5 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.1	2.5 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.4	5.1 / 0.9

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.60

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.6%

Time*	1	X	2
10:46 +1’	2.15	3.60	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Blooming 2–0–4 The Strongest

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/04/26 America Friendlies	The Strongest	4-0 HT 1-0	Blooming
28/03/26 America Friendlies	Blooming	1-2 HT 0-1	The Strongest
03/08/25 Bolivia Primera Division	The Strongest	3-2 HT 1-2	Blooming
31/03/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Blooming	3-1 HT 0-1	The Strongest
27/01/25 America Friendlies	Blooming	1-4 HT 1-2	The Strongest
21/12/24 Bolivia Clausura	Blooming	4-1 HT 2-1	The Strongest

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Always Ready	10	7	2	1	24	5	23
2	The Strongest	10	6	4	0	15	8	22
3	Club Aurora	11	5	5	1	19	13	20
4	Bolivar	10	5	3	2	24	10	18
5	Real Potosi	10	4	4	2	16	8	16
6	Blooming	10	4	4	2	16	11	16
7	Real Oruro	10	4	2	4	21	23	14
8	Nacional Potosi	10	3	3	4	13	14	12
9	Independiente Petrolero	10	3	3	4	14	17	12
10	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	11	4	0	7	19	26	12
11	Oriente Petrolero	10	3	2	5	13	15	11
12	Guabira	10	3	2	5	14	24	11
13	Universitario De Vinto	10	3	1	6	15	20	10
14	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	10	3	1	6	12	20	10
15	Real Tomayapo	10	2	2	6	7	21	8
16	GV San Jose	10	1	4	5	10	17	7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Blooming	The Strongest
Real Tomayapo	1-0 W	0-0 D
GV San Jose	1-1 D	0-0 D
Oriente Petrolero	1-0 W	2-1 W
Bolivar	0-0 D	1-1 D
Universitario De Vinto	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 0 L	2 W 3 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Blooming

LDLDLLLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/07	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
15/07	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	6	8	D
31/05	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-0	3	8	W
28/05	River Plate Copa Sudamericana	0-0	0-3	0	2	L
22/05	Carabobo Copa Sudamericana	0-1	0-2	10	3	L
14/05	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-3	4	4	L
11/05	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
08/05	Bragantino Copa Sudamericana	0-3	0-6	2	5	L
05/05	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
01/05	Carabobo Copa Sudamericana	0-2	0-2	5	6	L

The Strongest

WWDWWDWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	4	8	D
16/07	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-1	8	7	W
12/07	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
14/05	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
10/05	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	7	9	D
03/05	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	3-1	7	2	W
26/04	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	1-2	3-2	6	5	W
24/04	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	2	7	D
12/04	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	3-2	5	5	W
05/04	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-1	6	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Blooming vs The Strongest?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Blooming win (43%). Probabilities: Blooming 43%, draw 27%, The Strongest 31%.

How many goals are expected in Blooming vs The Strongest?

The model expects 2.73 goals (Blooming 1.5 · The Strongest 1.23), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Blooming vs The Strongest?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.