Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 27/07, 21:00

Prediction: GV San Jose vs Universitario De Vinto

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.23Total

GV San Jose2

Universitario De Vinto1.23

1X2

54% 24% 22%

GV San Jose Draw Universitario De Vinto

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

GV San Jose 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LLDDLLWLDD

Universitario De Vinto 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLDWWLLL

Head-to-head

GV San Jose 2–1–1 Universitario De Vinto (4 last)

GV San Jose5-0Universitario De Vinto
Universitario De Vinto4-0GV San Jose
GV San Jose4-1Universitario De Vinto

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · GV San Jose 1463 · Universitario De Vinto 1460

	GV San Jose	Draw	Universitario De Vinto
Our model	54%	24%	22%
Market	54%	24%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.23 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours GV San Jose: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	GV San Jose	Universitario De Vinto
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.7	1.5 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.9	2.3 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.2 / 0.4	4.1 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.90

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.3%

Time*	1	X	2
10:46 +7’	1.70	3.90	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · GV San Jose 2–1–1 Universitario De Vinto

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/12/25 Bolivia Primera Division	GV San Jose	5-0 HT 3-0	Universitario De Vinto
20/07/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Universitario De Vinto	4-0 HT 4-0	GV San Jose
03/12/24 Bolivia Clausura	GV San Jose	4-1 HT 2-0	Universitario De Vinto
07/08/24 Bolivia Clausura	Universitario De Vinto	1-1 HT 0-1	GV San Jose

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Always Ready	10	7	2	1	24	5	23
2	The Strongest	10	6	4	0	15	8	22
3	Club Aurora	11	5	5	1	19	13	20
4	Bolivar	10	5	3	2	24	10	18
5	Real Potosi	10	4	4	2	16	8	16
6	Blooming	10	4	4	2	16	11	16
7	Real Oruro	10	4	2	4	21	23	14
8	Nacional Potosi	10	3	3	4	13	14	12
9	Independiente Petrolero	10	3	3	4	14	17	12
10	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	11	4	0	7	19	26	12
11	Oriente Petrolero	10	3	2	5	13	15	11
12	Guabira	10	3	2	5	14	24	11
13	Universitario De Vinto	10	3	1	6	15	20	10
14	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	10	3	1	6	12	20	10
15	Real Tomayapo	10	2	2	6	7	21	8
16	GV San Jose	10	1	4	5	10	17	7

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	GV San Jose	Universitario De Vinto
The Strongest	0-0 D	1-2 L
Blooming	1-1 D	1-1 D
Real Oruro	1-3 L	1-4 L
Bolivar	1-2 L	3-2 W
Nacional Potosi	1-1 D	0-1 L
Club Aurora	1-1 D	1-2 L
Academia de Balompie Boliviano	1-2 L	5-2 W
Record vs common	0 W 4 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: GV San Jose (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

GV San Jose

LLDDLLWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	3	8	D
15/07	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-1	2	8	D
11/07	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-3	5	9	L
08/07	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	3-2	15	2	W
09/05	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	0-3	5	4	L
03/05	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-2	2	6	L
25/04	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	1	8	D
22/04	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-1	3	9	D
13/04	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-2	1	9	L
05/04	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-2	2	3	L

Universitario De Vinto

LLWLDWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-4	1	0	L
09/07	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-4	6	6	L
02/06	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	9	7	L
16/05	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	2-1	3-2	7	4	W
12/05	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-0	7	8	W
05/05	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-1	14	5	D
25/04	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-2	6	3	L
21/04	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	3-0	5-2	2	4	W
11/04	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
05/04	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	4	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in GV San Jose vs Universitario De Vinto?

According to our model, the most likely result is a GV San Jose win (54%). Probabilities: GV San Jose 54%, draw 24%, Universitario De Vinto 22%.

How many goals are expected in GV San Jose vs Universitario De Vinto?

The model expects 3.23 goals (GV San Jose 2 · Universitario De Vinto 1.23), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in GV San Jose vs Universitario De Vinto?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.