Prediction: Kisvarda II vs Tarpa SC
Team pages: Kisvarda II · Tarpa SC
- Tarpa SC0-0Kisvarda II
- Kisvarda II0-2Tarpa SC
| Kisvarda II | Draw | Tarpa SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 24% | 17% |
| Market | 60% | 22% | 18% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kisvarda II (rating 1545 vs 1410).
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kisvarda II | Tarpa SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.3 / 7 | 0.5 / 2.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.3 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kisvarda II 0–1–1 Tarpa SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Hungary NB III | Tarpa SC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Kisvarda II |
| 28/09/25 Hungary NB III | Kisvarda II | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Tarpa SC |
Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North East
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cigand SE | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 9 | 26 |
| 2 | Ozd Sajovolgye | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 8 | 24 |
| 3 | DEAC | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 14 | 23 |
| 4 | Godolloi SK | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | Egri FC | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 17 |
| 6 | Kisvarda II | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 17 |
| 7 | Debreceni II | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 16 |
| 8 | Fuzesabonyi SC | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 16 |
| 9 | Diosgyori VTK II | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 14 | 16 |
| 10 | Mateszalkai MTK | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | FC Tiszaujvaros | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 13 |
| 12 | Hajdunanas FK | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 27 | 10 |
| 13 | Salgotarjani BTC | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 9 |
| 14 | Tiszafured VSE | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 9 |
| 15 | Tarpa SC | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 6 |
| 16 | Nyiregyhaza II | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 3 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kisvarda II | Tarpa SC |
|---|---|---|
| Tiszafured VSE | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Cigand SE | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| FC Tiszaujvaros | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Ozd Sajovolgye | 2-3 L | 0-4 L |
| Egri FC | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| DEAC | 1-1 D | 0-4 L |
| Fuzesabonyi SC | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Kisvarda II (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kisvarda II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Tiszafured VSE Hungary NB III |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/09 | Cigand SE Hungary NB III |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 20/09 | FC Tiszaujvaros Hungary NB III |
1-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Ozd Sajovolgye Hungary NB III |
0-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | Egri FC Hungary NB III |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 26/08 | DEAC Hungary NB III |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | Fuzesabonyi SC Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/08 | Hajdunanas FK Hungary NB III |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Diosgyori VTK II Hungary NB III |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 26/07 | Mateszalkai MTK Hungary NB III |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Tarpa SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Debreceni II Hungary NB III |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/09 | Nyiregyhaza II Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/09 | Salgotarjani BTC Hungary NB III |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 06/09 | Tiszafured VSE Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 30/08 | Cigand SE Hungary NB III |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 26/08 | FC Tiszaujvaros Hungary NB III |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Ozd Sajovolgye Hungary NB III |
0-1 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 12/08 | DEAC Hungary NB III |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Egri FC Hungary NB III |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/07 | Fuzesabonyi SC Hungary NB III |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kisvarda II vs Tarpa SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kisvarda II win (60%). Probabilities: Kisvarda II 60%, draw 23%, Tarpa SC 18%.
How many goals are expected in Kisvarda II vs Tarpa SC?
The model expects 2.88 goals (Kisvarda II 1.93 · Tarpa SC 0.95), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Kisvarda II vs Tarpa SC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.