Football · Hungary NB III · 11/10, 11:00

Prediction: Diosgyori VTK II vs Ozd Sajovolgye

Team pages: Diosgyori VTK II · Ozd Sajovolgye

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.43Total

Diosgyori VTK II1.56

Ozd Sajovolgye1.86

1X2

32% 23% 45%

Diosgyori VTK II Draw Ozd Sajovolgye

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Diosgyori VTK II 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LDWDDDWWWL

Ozd Sajovolgye 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWWWLW

Head-to-head

Diosgyori VTK II 2–0 Ozd Sajovolgye (2 last)

Diosgyori VTK II5-0Ozd Sajovolgye
Ozd Sajovolgye3-6Diosgyori VTK II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Diosgyori VTK II 1540 · Ozd Sajovolgye 1587

	Diosgyori VTK II	Draw	Ozd Sajovolgye
Our model	32%	24%	44%
Market	33%	22%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 3.43 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ozd Sajovolgye (rating 1540 vs 1587).
H2H favours Diosgyori VTK II: 2-0-0.
High corners: 13.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Diosgyori VTK II	Ozd Sajovolgye
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.4	3.2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 7.7	3.5 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.75

X4.00

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
02:45 +37’	2.75	4.00	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Diosgyori VTK II 2–0–0 Ozd Sajovolgye

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Hungary NB III	Diosgyori VTK II	5-0 HT 2-0	Ozd Sajovolgye
28/09/25 Hungary NB III	Ozd Sajovolgye	3-6 HT 0-4	Diosgyori VTK II

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ozd Sajovolgye	10	8	0	2	32	8	24
2	Cigand SE	10	7	2	1	24	9	23
3	DEAC	10	6	2	2	25	13	20
4	Kisvarda II	10	4	5	1	15	11	17
5	Debreceni II	10	5	1	4	25	21	16
6	Godolloi SK	10	5	1	4	14	12	16
7	Egri FC	10	5	1	4	12	21	16
8	Diosgyori VTK II	10	4	4	2	18	14	16
9	Mateszalkai MTK	10	4	4	2	17	14	16
10	Fuzesabonyi SC	10	5	0	5	10	11	15
11	FC Tiszaujvaros	10	4	1	5	12	13	13
12	Hajdunanas FK	10	3	1	6	17	27	10
13	Salgotarjani BTC	10	3	0	7	7	15	9
14	Tiszafured VSE	10	3	0	7	6	15	9
15	Tarpa SC	10	2	0	8	8	22	6
16	Nyiregyhaza II	10	1	0	9	10	26	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Diosgyori VTK II	Ozd Sajovolgye
Hajdunanas FK	2-2 D	9-0 W
Mateszalkai MTK	2-2 D	1-2 L
Debreceni II	0-0 D	5-2 W
Godolloi SK	1-0 W	2-0 W
Kisvarda II	2-2 D	3-2 W
Nyiregyhaza II	1-3 L	5-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 4 D 1 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Ozd Sajovolgye (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Diosgyori VTK II

LDWDDDWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Egri FC Hungary NB III	0-2	1-2	8	3	L
26/09	DEAC Hungary NB III	2-1	5-2	5	6	W
19/09	Fuzesabonyi SC Hungary NB III	0-0	3-1	–	–	W
05/09	Salgotarjani BTC Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
30/08	Hajdunanas FK Hungary NB III	1-2	2-2	10	1	D
26/08	Mateszalkai MTK Hungary NB III	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
19/08	Debreceni II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
16/08	Godolloi SK Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
09/08	Kisvarda II Hungary NB III	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
25/07	Nyiregyhaza II Hungary NB III	0-1	1-3	–	–	L

Ozd Sajovolgye

WWLWWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Hajdunanas FK Hungary NB III	2-0	9-0	–	–	W
26/09	Mateszalkai MTK Hungary NB III	0-1	1-2	3	5	L
19/09	Godolloi SK Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
06/09	Kisvarda II Hungary NB III	1-0	3-2	–	–	W
29/08	Debreceni II Hungary NB III	2-1	5-2	–	–	W
26/08	Nyiregyhaza II Hungary NB III	2-0	5-0	9	1	W
15/08	Tarpa SC Hungary NB III	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
12/08	Cigand SE Hungary NB III	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
08/08	Tiszafured VSE Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
25/07	FC Tiszaujvaros Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Diosgyori VTK II vs Ozd Sajovolgye?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ozd Sajovolgye win (45%). Probabilities: Diosgyori VTK II 32%, draw 23%, Ozd Sajovolgye 45%.

How many goals are expected in Diosgyori VTK II vs Ozd Sajovolgye?

The model expects 3.43 goals (Diosgyori VTK II 1.56 · Ozd Sajovolgye 1.86), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Diosgyori VTK II vs Ozd Sajovolgye?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.