Football · Hungary NB III · 05/09, 16:00

Prediction: Debreceni II vs FC Tiszaujvaros

Team pages: Debreceni II · FC Tiszaujvaros

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.98Total

Debreceni II2.43

FC Tiszaujvaros1.55

1X2

56% 22% 23%

Debreceni II Draw FC Tiszaujvaros

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Debreceni II 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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FC Tiszaujvaros 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDLDLLLWWW

Head-to-head

Debreceni II 4–1–1 FC Tiszaujvaros (6 last)

Debreceni II4-1FC Tiszaujvaros
FC Tiszaujvaros1-3Debreceni II
FC Tiszaujvaros2-2Debreceni II
Debreceni II0-3FC Tiszaujvaros
Debreceni II3-1FC Tiszaujvaros
Debreceni II4-2FC Tiszaujvaros

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Debreceni II 1520 · FC Tiszaujvaros 1473

	Debreceni II	Draw	FC Tiszaujvaros
Our model	56%	20%	23%
Market	55%	22%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.98 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Debreceni II (rating 1520 vs 1473).
H2H favours Debreceni II: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Debreceni II	FC Tiszaujvaros
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 2.1	1.3 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 5.8	0.8 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.3	3.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.61

X4.00

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
13:59 +8’	1.61	4.00	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Debreceni II 4–1–1 FC Tiszaujvaros

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Hungary NB III	Debreceni II	4-1 HT 0-0	FC Tiszaujvaros
02/11/25 Hungary NB III	FC Tiszaujvaros	1-3 HT 1-3	Debreceni II
11/05/25 Hungary NB III	FC Tiszaujvaros	2-2 HT 1-0	Debreceni II
27/10/24 Hungary NB III	Debreceni II	0-3 HT 0-3	FC Tiszaujvaros
01/09/24 Hungary NB III	Debreceni II	3-1 HT 0-1	FC Tiszaujvaros
24/03/24 Hungary NB III	Debreceni II	4-2 HT 3-0	FC Tiszaujvaros

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ozd Sajovolgye	6	5	0	1	17	4	15
2	Cigand SE	6	5	0	1	12	3	15
3	DEAC	6	4	1	1	15	7	13
4	Egri FC	6	4	1	1	9	8	13
5	Godolloi SK	6	4	0	2	8	7	12
6	Kisvarda II	6	2	4	0	9	7	10
7	Fuzesabonyi SC	6	3	0	3	7	5	9
8	FC Tiszaujvaros	6	3	0	3	8	7	9
9	Mateszalkai MTK	6	2	2	2	9	10	8
10	Debreceni II	6	2	1	3	15	14	7
11	Hajdunanas FK	6	2	1	3	12	12	7
12	Diosgyori VTK II	6	1	4	1	8	9	7
13	Tiszafured VSE	6	1	0	5	2	9	3
14	Nyiregyhaza II	6	1	0	5	8	16	3
15	Salgotarjani BTC	6	1	0	5	4	12	3
16	Tarpa SC	6	1	0	5	4	17	3

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Debreceni II	FC Tiszaujvaros
Ozd Sajovolgye	2-5 L	0-1 L
Cigand SE	0-5 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Tiszaujvaros (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Debreceni II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Ozd Sajovolgye Hungary NB III	1-2	2-5	–	–	L
26/08	Egri FC Hungary NB III	1-1	5-2	5	4	W
19/08	Diosgyori VTK II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
15/08	DEAC Hungary NB III	0-1	2-3	–	–	L
08/08	Fuzesabonyi SC Hungary NB III	1-1	1-2	6	0	L
25/07	Hajdunanas FK Hungary NB III	2-1	5-2	3	3	W
24/05	Cigand SE Hungary NB III	0-1	0-5	–	–	L
17/05	FC Tiszaujvaros Hungary NB III	0-0	4-1	5	6	W
10/05	Diosgyori VTK II Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	9	2	W
03/05	Putnok Hungary NB III	3-1	5-1	7	1	W

FC Tiszaujvaros

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Nyiregyhaza II Hungary NB III	2-1	3-2	–	–	W
26/08	Tarpa SC Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
15/08	Tiszafured VSE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	4	0	W
12/08	Salgotarjani BTC Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
08/08	Cigand SE Hungary NB III	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
25/07	Ozd Sajovolgye Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	1	7	L
24/05	Tarpa SC Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
17/05	Debreceni II Hungary NB III	0-0	1-4	0	6	L
10/05	Kisvarda II Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	7	6	D
03/05	Nyiregyhaza II Hungary NB III	1-2	2-8	3	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Debreceni II vs FC Tiszaujvaros?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Debreceni II win (56%). Probabilities: Debreceni II 56%, draw 22%, FC Tiszaujvaros 23%.

How many goals are expected in Debreceni II vs FC Tiszaujvaros?

The model expects 3.98 goals (Debreceni II 2.43 · FC Tiszaujvaros 1.55), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Debreceni II vs FC Tiszaujvaros?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.