Football · Hungary NB III · 06/09, 11:00

Prediction: Ujpest II vs Szegedi VSE

Team pages: Ujpest II · Szegedi VSE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.16Total

Ujpest II2.84

Szegedi VSE1.32

1X2

68% 18% 14%

Ujpest II Draw Szegedi VSE

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Ujpest II 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLWDLWDW

Szegedi VSE 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLWDLLLLD

Head-to-head

Ujpest II 0–1–1 Szegedi VSE (2 last)

Ujpest II1-1Szegedi VSE
Szegedi VSE2-1Ujpest II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ujpest II 1538 · Szegedi VSE 1423

	Ujpest II	Draw	Szegedi VSE
Our model	68%	17%	15%
Market	67%	19%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 4.16 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ujpest II (rating 1538 vs 1423).
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ujpest II	Szegedi VSE
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.4	1.9 / 3.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.8	0.6 / 1.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	0/33/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 6	1.8 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.1	3.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.33

X4.75

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.80

2 (+1.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.95

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 4.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
06:58 +6’	1.33	4.75	6.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ujpest II 0–1–1 Szegedi VSE

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
14/04/21 Hungary NB III	Ujpest II	1-1 HT 1-0	Szegedi VSE
13/09/20 Hungary NB III	Szegedi VSE	2-1 HT 1-1	Ujpest II

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South East

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gyulai Termal	6	6	0	0	21	2	18
2	III Keruleti TUE	6	5	0	1	12	3	15
3	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	6	4	1	1	16	10	13
4	Csepel FC	6	3	2	1	17	6	11
5	Ujpest II	6	3	2	1	17	9	11
6	ESMTK	6	3	2	1	14	8	11
7	FC Dabas	6	3	1	2	12	12	10
8	Szolnoki Mav FC	6	2	3	1	14	14	9
9	Vasas SC II	6	2	2	2	12	9	8
10	Monori SE	6	2	2	2	11	9	8
11	Kispest Honved II	6	1	2	3	12	11	5
12	Sandorfalvi SK	6	1	0	5	4	23	3
13	Bekescsabai Elore SE	6	0	3	3	5	11	3
14	Hodmezovasarhelyi	6	0	3	3	6	15	3
15	Szegedi VSE	6	0	2	4	9	19	2
16	BKV Elore SC	6	0	1	5	5	26	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ujpest II	Szegedi VSE
FC Dabas	2-1 W	1-2 L
Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	2-2 D	1-2 L
Vasas SC II	5-3 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Ujpest II (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ujpest II

LWWLWDLWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	2-1	2-1	5	4	W
26/08	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
16/08	Vasas SC II Hungary NB III	1-2	5-3	5	4	W
12/08	Sandorfalvi SK Hungary NB III	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
08/08	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB III	1-0	2-2	5	7	D
26/07	BKV Elore SC Hungary NB III	2-0	6-0	8	3	W
24/05	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
17/05	Papai Perutz Hungary NB III	3-0	3-0	7	6	W
10/05	Zsambeki SK Hungary NB III	1-0	3-1	7	4	W
03/05	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE Hungary NB III	1-1	1-2	5	3	L

Szegedi VSE

LLLWDLLLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Szolnoki Mav FC Hungary NB III	0-2	3-3	1	6	D
26/08	Budapest Honved II Hungary NB III	0-4	1-8	5	1	L
15/08	Monori SE Hungary NB III	–	2-3	–	–	L
12/08	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
08/08	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
25/07	Vasas SC II Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	5	2	D
24/05	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	1-2	3-2	3	4	W
17/05	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
10/05	Csepel FC Hungary NB III	1-1	2-3	8	2	L
03/05	Monori SE Hungary NB III	2-2	4-5	6	9	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ujpest II vs Szegedi VSE?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ujpest II win (68%). Probabilities: Ujpest II 68%, draw 18%, Szegedi VSE 14%.

How many goals are expected in Ujpest II vs Szegedi VSE?

The model expects 4.16 goals (Ujpest II 2.84 · Szegedi VSE 1.32), with a 55% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Ujpest II vs Szegedi VSE?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.