Football · Hungary NB III · 10/10, 13:00

Prediction: Mateszalkai MTK vs Cigand SE

Team pages: Cigand SE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.35Total

Mateszalkai MTK1.24

Cigand SE2.12

1X2

21% 22% 57%

Mateszalkai MTK Draw Cigand SE

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Mateszalkai MTK 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWWLDLDWWD

Cigand SE 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWWWDD

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mateszalkai MTK 1514 · Cigand SE 1583

	Mateszalkai MTK	Draw	Cigand SE
Our model	21%	23%	57%
Market	21%	21%	57%

Estimated total (ours) 3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cigand SE (rating 1514 vs 1583).
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Mateszalkai MTK	Cigand SE
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.4	2.4 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	1.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 3.8	1 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.20

X4.20

21.57

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.85

2 (-1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
05:42 +28’	4.20	4.20	1.57

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ozd Sajovolgye	10	8	0	2	32	8	24
2	Cigand SE	10	7	2	1	24	9	23
3	DEAC	10	6	2	2	25	13	20
4	Kisvarda II	10	4	5	1	15	11	17
5	Debreceni II	10	5	1	4	25	21	16
6	Godolloi SK	10	5	1	4	14	12	16
7	Egri FC	10	5	1	4	12	21	16
8	Diosgyori VTK II	10	4	4	2	18	14	16
9	Mateszalkai MTK	10	4	4	2	17	14	16
10	Fuzesabonyi SC	10	5	0	5	10	11	15
11	FC Tiszaujvaros	10	4	1	5	12	13	13
12	Hajdunanas FK	10	3	1	6	17	27	10
13	Salgotarjani BTC	10	3	0	7	7	15	9
14	Tiszafured VSE	10	3	0	7	6	15	9
15	Tarpa SC	10	2	0	8	8	22	6
16	Nyiregyhaza II	10	1	0	9	10	26	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mateszalkai MTK	Cigand SE
FC Tiszaujvaros	2-2 D	3-1 W
Ozd Sajovolgye	2-1 W	2-0 W
Egri FC	3-0 W	0-1 L
Godolloi SK	4-0 W	2-2 D
Salgotarjani BTC	2-1 W	2-0 W
Kisvarda II	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 0 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Cigand SE (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mateszalkai MTK

DWWLDLDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	FC Tiszaujvaros Hungary NB III	1-2	2-2	8	5	D
26/09	Ozd Sajovolgye Hungary NB III	1-0	2-1	2	5	W
19/09	Egri FC Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
05/09	DEAC Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	3	6	D
29/08	Fuzesabonyi SC Hungary NB III	0-2	0-3	2	2	L
26/08	Diosgyori VTK II Hungary NB III	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
16/08	Hajdunanas FK Hungary NB III	0-3	0-3	–	–	L
12/08	Godolloi SK Hungary NB III	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
08/08	Salgotarjani BTC Hungary NB III	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
26/07	Kisvarda II Hungary NB III	1-1	1-1	–	–	D

Cigand SE

LWWWWWWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Godolloi SK Hungary NB III	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
27/09	Kisvarda II Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	5	0	D
19/09	Debreceni II Hungary NB III	3-1	4-2	–	–	W
06/09	Nyiregyhaza II Hungary NB III	2-1	5-1	2	4	W
30/08	Tarpa SC Hungary NB III	1-1	3-1	4	1	W
26/08	Tiszafured VSE Hungary NB III	2-0	2-0	1	5	W
16/08	Salgotarjani BTC Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
12/08	Ozd Sajovolgye Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
08/08	FC Tiszaujvaros Hungary NB III	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
26/07	Egri FC Hungary NB III	0-1	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mateszalkai MTK vs Cigand SE?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Cigand SE win (57%). Probabilities: Mateszalkai MTK 21%, draw 22%, Cigand SE 57%.

How many goals are expected in Mateszalkai MTK vs Cigand SE?

The model expects 3.35 goals (Mateszalkai MTK 1.24 · Cigand SE 2.12), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Mateszalkai MTK vs Cigand SE?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.