Football · Hungary NB III · 10/10, 13:00

Prediction: PEAC FC vs Ferencvarosi TC II

Team pages: PEAC FC · Ferencvarosi TC II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.03Total

PEAC FC1.54

Ferencvarosi TC II1.49

1X2

38% 26% 36%

PEAC FC Draw Ferencvarosi TC II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

PEAC FC 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DWWLWWDDDD

Ferencvarosi TC II 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWDLWWDLDW

Head-to-head

PEAC FC 1–4 Ferencvarosi TC II (5 last)

Ferencvarosi TC II4-1PEAC FC
PEAC FC1-3Ferencvarosi TC II
PEAC FC1-3Ferencvarosi TC II
Ferencvarosi TC II2-1PEAC FC
PEAC FC1-0Ferencvarosi TC II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PEAC FC 1527 · Ferencvarosi TC II 1542

	PEAC FC	Draw	Ferencvarosi TC II
Our model	38%	26%	36%
Market	38%	26%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.03 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Ferencvarosi TC II: 4-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	PEAC FC	Ferencvarosi TC II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1	2.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5	2.3 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.40

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
05:51 +20’	2.38	3.40	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · PEAC FC 1–0–4 Ferencvarosi TC II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Hungary NB III	Ferencvarosi TC II	4-1 HT 1-0	PEAC FC
31/08/25 Hungary NB III	PEAC FC	1-3 HT 1-2	Ferencvarosi TC II
13/10/24 Hungary NB III	PEAC FC	1-3 HT 1-1	Ferencvarosi TC II
28/04/24 Hungary NB III	Ferencvarosi TC II	2-1 HT 2-0	PEAC FC
15/10/23 Hungary NB III	PEAC FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Ferencvarosi TC II

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Pecsi MFC	10	9	1	0	30	4	28
2	Kaposvari Rakoczi	9	5	1	3	23	14	16
3	Budafoki MTE	9	5	1	3	17	12	16
4	PEAC FC	9	4	4	1	15	9	16
5	Ivancsa	9	5	0	4	21	20	15
6	Ferencvarosi TC II	9	4	3	2	19	13	15
7	BFC Siofok	9	4	2	3	16	11	14
8	Majosi SE	9	4	2	3	18	18	14
9	Dunaharaszti MTK	10	4	2	4	17	19	14
10	MTK Budapest II	8	4	0	4	21	14	12
11	Erdi VSE	9	3	3	3	21	21	12
12	Budaorsi SC	9	3	2	4	16	26	11
13	Paksi SE II	10	1	3	6	19	23	6
14	Sarbogard SE	10	1	2	7	9	24	5
15	Szekszardi	9	0	0	9	4	38	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	PEAC FC	Ferencvarosi TC II
Majosi SE	1-1 D	5-0 W
Pecsi MFC	1-1 D	0-3 L
Dunaharaszti MTK	1-1 D	2-0 W
Paksi SE II	1-1 D	2-2 D
Sarbogard SE	2-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 4 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Ferencvarosi TC II (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PEAC FC

DWWLWWDDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Majosi SE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	8	4	D
26/09	Pecsi MFC Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	8	3	D
19/09	Dunaharaszti MTK Hungary NB III	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
05/09	Paksi SE II Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
26/08	Budaorsi SC Hungary NB III	2-1	6-1	1	4	W
15/08	Szekszardi Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
12/08	Budafoki MTE Hungary NB III	0-0	0-2	5	3	L
09/08	BFC Siofok Hungary NB III	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
26/07	Sarbogard SE Hungary NB III	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
24/05	BFC Siofok Hungary NB III	1-1	1-1	4	1	D

Ferencvarosi TC II

WWDLWWDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	MTK Budapest II Hungary NB III	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
26/09	Kaposvari Rakoczi Hungary NB III	0-2	2-2	–	–	D
19/09	Ivancsa Hungary NB III	1-0	2-3	–	–	L
05/09	Erdi VSE Hungary NB III	2-0	3-3	4	3	D
29/08	Sarbogard SE Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
26/08	Majosi SE Hungary NB III	1-0	5-0	6	1	W
15/08	Pecsi MFC Hungary NB III	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
12/08	Paksi SE II Hungary NB III	2-1	2-2	–	–	D
08/08	Dunaharaszti MTK Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
24/05	Dunaujvaros FC Hungary NB III	0-2	3-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PEAC FC vs Ferencvarosi TC II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a PEAC FC win (38%). Probabilities: PEAC FC 38%, draw 26%, Ferencvarosi TC II 36%.

How many goals are expected in PEAC FC vs Ferencvarosi TC II?

The model expects 3.03 goals (PEAC FC 1.54 · Ferencvarosi TC II 1.49), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in PEAC FC vs Ferencvarosi TC II?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.