Football · Hungary NB III · 11/10, 11:00

Prediction: MTK Budapest II vs Erdi VSE

Team pages: MTK Budapest II · Erdi VSE

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.82Total
MTK Budapest II2.11
Erdi VSE1.71
1X2
47% 22% 31%
MTK Budapest II Draw Erdi VSE
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
MTK Budapest II 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
WLWWLLWWLL
Erdi VSE 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DDWDLLDWLW
Head-to-head
MTK Budapest II 1–3 Erdi VSE (4 last)
  • Erdi VSE1-0MTK Budapest II
  • MTK Budapest II2-1Erdi VSE
  • MTK Budapest II1-2Erdi VSE
  • Erdi VSE5-3MTK Budapest II
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MTK Budapest II 1504 · Erdi VSE 1489
MTK Budapest IIDrawErdi VSE
Our model47%22%31%
Market47%21%31%
Estimated total (ours) 3.82 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Erdi VSE: 3-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

MTK Budapest IIErdi VSE
Goals for / against (FT)2.3 / 1.52.4 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.61.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 3.82.7 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 0.43.8 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · MTK Budapest II 1–0–3 Erdi VSE

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/03/26
Hungary NB III
Erdi VSE1-0
HT 1-0
MTK Budapest II
07/09/25
Hungary NB III
MTK Budapest II2-1
HT 0-0
Erdi VSE
28/04/24
Hungary NB III
MTK Budapest II1-2
HT 1-1
Erdi VSE
15/10/23
Hungary NB III
Erdi VSE5-3
HT 4-0
MTK Budapest II

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South West

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Pecsi MFC 10910 30428
2 Kaposvari Rakoczi 9513 231416
3 Budafoki MTE 9513 171216
4 PEAC FC 9441 15916
5 Ivancsa 9504 212015
6 Ferencvarosi TC II 9432 191315
7 BFC Siofok 9423 161114
8 Majosi SE 9423 181814
9 Dunaharaszti MTK 10424 171914
10 MTK Budapest II 8404 211412
11 Erdi VSE 9333 212112
12 Budaorsi SC 9324 162611
13 Paksi SE II 10136 19236
14 Sarbogard SE 10127 9245
15 Szekszardi 9009 4380

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMTK Budapest IIErdi VSE
Ferencvarosi TC II 0-2 L 3-3 D
Pecsi MFC 0-3 L 1-2 L
Dunaharaszti MTK 4-2 W 1-1 D
Paksi SE II 4-2 W 3-1 W
Budaorsi SC 0-1 L 3-3 D
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 3 L 1 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Erdi VSE (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MTK Budapest II

WLWWLLWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 Ferencvarosi TC II
Hungary NB III
0-0 0-2 –– L
19/09 Pecsi MFC
Hungary NB III
0-0 0-3 14 L
06/09 Dunaharaszti MTK
Hungary NB III
1-2 4-2 44 W
29/08 Paksi SE II
Hungary NB III
2-1 4-2 33 W
15/08 Budaorsi SC
Hungary NB III
0-1 0-1 –– L
12/08 BFC Siofok
Hungary NB III
1-0 1-2 33 L
09/08 Szekszardi
Hungary NB III
2-0 8-0 –– W
26/07 Budafoki MTE
Hungary NB III
3-1 4-2 –– W
24/05 FC Nagykanizsa
Hungary NB III
0-1 0-1 –– L
17/05 Dunaujvaros FC
Hungary NB III
0-0 2-0 84 W

Erdi VSE

DDWDLLDWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 Kaposvari Rakoczi
Hungary NB III
1-0 3-1 52 W
26/09 Ivancsa
Hungary NB III
0-0 1-4 –– L
19/09 Sarbogard SE
Hungary NB III
3-1 4-3 74 W
05/09 Ferencvarosi TC II
Hungary NB III
0-2 3-3 83 D
30/08 Majosi SE
Hungary NB III
1-1 2-3 45 L
26/08 Pecsi MFC
Hungary NB III
1-1 1-2 23 L
15/08 Dunaharaszti MTK
Hungary NB III
1-1 1-1 –– D
08/08 Paksi SE II
Hungary NB III
3-0 3-1 –– W
25/07 Budaorsi SC
Hungary NB III
1-1 3-3 –– D
24/05 Majosi SE
Hungary NB III
1-0 3-3 87 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MTK Budapest II vs Erdi VSE?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MTK Budapest II win (47%). Probabilities: MTK Budapest II 47%, draw 22%, Erdi VSE 31%.

How many goals are expected in MTK Budapest II vs Erdi VSE?

The model expects 3.82 goals (MTK Budapest II 2.11 · Erdi VSE 1.71), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in MTK Budapest II vs Erdi VSE?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.