Football · Hungary NB III · 07/11, 13:00

Prediction: PEAC FC vs MTK Budapest II

Team pages: PEAC FC · MTK Budapest II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.36Total

PEAC FC1.36

MTK Budapest II2

1X2

25% 23% 52%

PEAC FC Draw MTK Budapest II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

PEAC FC 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

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MTK Budapest II 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

PEAC FC 1–1–2 MTK Budapest II (4 last)

PEAC FC1-3MTK Budapest II
MTK Budapest II1-2PEAC FC
MTK Budapest II2-1PEAC FC
PEAC FC1-1MTK Budapest II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PEAC FC 1444 · MTK Budapest II 1493

	PEAC FC	Draw	MTK Budapest II
Our model	25%	24%	51%
Market	26%	22%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 3.36 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MTK Budapest II (rating 1444 vs 1493).
H2H favours MTK Budapest II: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	PEAC FC	MTK Budapest II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.7	1.9 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	1.2 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.3	1.4 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.50

X4.00

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.85

2 (-0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:33 +21’	3.50	4.00	1.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · PEAC FC 1–1–2 MTK Budapest II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Hungary NB III	PEAC FC	1-3 HT 1-1	MTK Budapest II
12/10/25 Hungary NB III	MTK Budapest II	1-2 HT 1-1	PEAC FC
12/05/24 Hungary NB III	MTK Budapest II	2-1 HT 2-1	PEAC FC
29/10/23 Hungary NB III	PEAC FC	1-1 HT 0-0	MTK Budapest II

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Pecsi MFC	13	12	1	0	40	4	37
2	Kaposvari Rakoczi	13	9	1	3	37	17	28
3	Ivancsa	13	8	0	5	31	24	24
4	Ferencvarosi TC II	13	7	3	3	32	18	24
5	Majosi SE	13	7	3	3	30	27	24
6	Dunaharaszti MTK	13	6	2	5	24	22	20
7	Erdi VSE	13	5	4	4	29	28	19
8	MTK Budapest II	12	6	0	6	31	25	18
9	Budafoki MTE	13	5	3	5	24	22	18
10	BFC Siofok	13	5	2	6	22	18	17
11	PEAC FC	13	4	4	5	17	21	16
12	Paksi SE II	13	3	4	6	28	24	13
13	Budaorsi SC	13	3	3	7	20	40	12
14	Sarbogard SE	13	1	2	10	10	39	5
15	Szekszardi	13	0	0	13	6	52	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	PEAC FC	MTK Budapest II
Kaposvari Rakoczi	0-2 L	3-4 L
Ivancsa	0-3 L	2-5 L
Erdi VSE	1-3 L	3-1 W
Ferencvarosi TC II	1-4 L	0-2 L
Pecsi MFC	1-1 D	0-3 L
Dunaharaszti MTK	1-1 D	4-2 W
Paksi SE II	1-1 D	4-2 W
Budaorsi SC	6-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 4 L	3 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: MTK Budapest II (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PEAC FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Kaposvari Rakoczi Hungary NB III	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
24/10	Ivancsa Hungary NB III	0-1	0-3	5	4	L
17/10	Erdi VSE Hungary NB III	0-2	1-3	6	8	L
10/10	Ferencvarosi TC II Hungary NB III	0-0	1-4	5	2	L
03/10	Majosi SE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	8	4	D
26/09	Pecsi MFC Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	8	3	D
19/09	Dunaharaszti MTK Hungary NB III	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
05/09	Paksi SE II Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
26/08	Budaorsi SC Hungary NB III	2-1	6-1	1	4	W
15/08	Szekszardi Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	–	–	W

MTK Budapest II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Sarbogard SE Hungary NB III	2-1	2-1	2	6	W
24/10	Kaposvari Rakoczi Hungary NB III	2-2	3-4	4	7	L
17/10	Ivancsa Hungary NB III	2-4	2-5	5	1	L
11/10	Erdi VSE Hungary NB III	2-0	3-1	3	6	W
03/10	Ferencvarosi TC II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
19/09	Pecsi MFC Hungary NB III	0-0	0-3	1	4	L
06/09	Dunaharaszti MTK Hungary NB III	1-2	4-2	4	4	W
29/08	Paksi SE II Hungary NB III	2-1	4-2	3	3	W
15/08	Budaorsi SC Hungary NB III	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
12/08	BFC Siofok Hungary NB III	1-0	1-2	3	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PEAC FC vs MTK Budapest II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an MTK Budapest II win (52%). Probabilities: PEAC FC 25%, draw 23%, MTK Budapest II 52%.

How many goals are expected in PEAC FC vs MTK Budapest II?

The model expects 3.36 goals (PEAC FC 1.36 · MTK Budapest II 2), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in PEAC FC vs MTK Budapest II?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.