Football · Hungary NB III · 08/11, 13:00

Prediction: BFC Siofok vs Ivancsa

Team pages: BFC Siofok · Ivancsa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.83Total

BFC Siofok1.79

Ivancsa2.04

1X2

34% 23% 43%

BFC Siofok Draw Ivancsa

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

BFC Siofok 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DDWWWLLLWL

Ivancsa 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LLLWWWLWWW

Head-to-head

BFC Siofok 1–3–2 Ivancsa (6 last)

Ivancsa6-2BFC Siofok
BFC Siofok1-1Ivancsa
BFC Siofok1-2Ivancsa
Ivancsa1-1BFC Siofok
Ivancsa1-1BFC Siofok
BFC Siofok3-2Ivancsa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BFC Siofok 1494 · Ivancsa 1538

	BFC Siofok	Draw	Ivancsa
Our model	34%	23%	43%
Market	33%	24%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.83 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ivancsa (rating 1494 vs 1538).
H2H favours Ivancsa: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	BFC Siofok	Ivancsa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.3	2.4 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	1 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.8 / 3	2 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.6	3 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.75

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.88

2 (-0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
03:20 +21’	2.70	3.75	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BFC Siofok 1–3–2 Ivancsa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/11/25 Hungary NB III	Ivancsa	6-2 HT 3-2	BFC Siofok
27/07/25 Hungary NB III	BFC Siofok	1-1	Ivancsa
24/11/24 Hungary NB III	BFC Siofok	1-2 HT 1-0	Ivancsa
07/08/24 Hungary NB III	Ivancsa	1-1 HT 0-0	BFC Siofok
12/07/23 Europe Friendlies	Ivancsa	1-1 HT 0-0	BFC Siofok
14/07/21 Europe Friendlies	BFC Siofok	3-2 HT 2-0	Ivancsa

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Pecsi MFC	13	12	1	0	40	4	37
2	Kaposvari Rakoczi	13	9	1	3	37	17	28
3	Ivancsa	13	8	0	5	31	24	24
4	Ferencvarosi TC II	13	7	3	3	32	18	24
5	Majosi SE	13	7	3	3	30	27	24
6	Dunaharaszti MTK	13	6	2	5	24	22	20
7	Erdi VSE	13	5	4	4	29	28	19
8	MTK Budapest II	12	6	0	6	31	25	18
9	Budafoki MTE	13	5	3	5	24	22	18
10	BFC Siofok	13	5	2	6	22	18	17
11	PEAC FC	13	4	4	5	17	21	16
12	Paksi SE II	13	3	4	6	28	24	13
13	Budaorsi SC	13	3	3	7	20	40	12
14	Sarbogard SE	13	1	2	10	10	39	5
15	Szekszardi	13	0	0	13	6	52	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BFC Siofok	Ivancsa
Erdi VSE	1-2 L	4-1 W
Ferencvarosi TC II	3-1 W	3-2 W
Majosi SE	2-3 L	2-3 L
Pecsi MFC	0-1 L	0-7 L
Dunaharaszti MTK	1-2 L	1-3 L
Sarbogard SE	1-1 D	4-1 W
Budafoki MTE	0-0 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 4 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BFC Siofok

DDWWWLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Erdi VSE Hungary NB III	1-1	1-2	5	10	L
24/10	Ferencvarosi TC II Hungary NB III	1-0	3-1	1	2	W
17/10	Majosi SE Hungary NB III	0-1	2-3	3	3	L
11/10	Pecsi MFC Hungary NB III	0-1	0-1	1	4	L
03/10	Dunaharaszti MTK Hungary NB III	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
27/09	Paksi SE II Hungary NB III	2-0	3-1	3	7	W
05/09	Budaorsi SC Hungary NB III	2-1	4-1	2	3	W
29/08	Szekszardi Hungary NB III	2-0	3-1	6	7	W
26/08	Sarbogard SE Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
15/08	Budafoki MTE Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Ivancsa

LLLWWWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Budafoki MTE Hungary NB III	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
24/10	PEAC FC Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	7	4	W
17/10	MTK Budapest II Hungary NB III	4-2	5-2	3	1	W
10/10	Kaposvari Rakoczi Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
03/10	Sarbogard SE Hungary NB III	2-0	4-1	8	4	W
26/09	Erdi VSE Hungary NB III	0-0	4-1	–	–	W
19/09	Ferencvarosi TC II Hungary NB III	0-1	3-2	–	–	W
05/09	Majosi SE Hungary NB III	1-3	2-3	–	–	L
30/08	Pecsi MFC Hungary NB III	0-4	0-7	6	5	L
26/08	Dunaharaszti MTK Hungary NB III	1-1	1-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BFC Siofok vs Ivancsa?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ivancsa win (43%). Probabilities: BFC Siofok 34%, draw 23%, Ivancsa 43%.

How many goals are expected in BFC Siofok vs Ivancsa?

The model expects 3.83 goals (BFC Siofok 1.79 · Ivancsa 2.04), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in BFC Siofok vs Ivancsa?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.