Football · Hungary NB III · 10/10, 18:00

Prediction: Budaorsi SC vs Paksi SE II

Team pages: Budaorsi SC · Paksi SE II

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.73Total
Budaorsi SC1.92
Paksi SE II1.82
1X2
40% 24% 36%
Budaorsi SC Draw Paksi SE II
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Budaorsi SC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WDLWWLLLWD
Paksi SE II 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
DLDLLLDLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Budaorsi SC 1492 · Paksi SE II 1444
Budaorsi SCDrawPaksi SE II
Our model40%23%36%
Market40%24%36%
Estimated total (ours) 3.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Budaorsi SC (rating 1492 vs 1444).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Budaorsi SCPaksi SE II
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 2.61.9 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 1.30.9 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 4.43.2 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.8 / 04 / 0.2

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South West

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Pecsi MFC 10910 30428
2 Kaposvari Rakoczi 9513 231416
3 Budafoki MTE 9513 171216
4 PEAC FC 9441 15916
5 Ivancsa 9504 212015
6 Ferencvarosi TC II 9432 191315
7 BFC Siofok 9423 161114
8 Majosi SE 9423 181814
9 Dunaharaszti MTK 10424 171914
10 MTK Budapest II 8404 211412
11 Erdi VSE 9333 212112
12 Budaorsi SC 9324 162611
13 Paksi SE II 10136 19236
14 Sarbogard SE 10127 9245
15 Szekszardi 9009 4380

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBudaorsi SCPaksi SE II
Szekszardi 5-1 W 8-1 W
BFC Siofok 1-4 L 1-3 L
Budafoki MTE 1-3 L 1-2 L
PEAC FC 1-6 L 1-1 D
MTK Budapest II 1-0 W 2-4 L
Ivancsa 3-1 W 0-2 L
Kaposvari Rakoczi 0-7 L 1-3 L
Erdi VSE 3-3 D 1-3 L
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 4 L 1 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Paksi SE II (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Budaorsi SC

WDLWWLLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 Sarbogard SE
Hungary NB III
1-1 1-1 –– D
19/09 Szekszardi
Hungary NB III
2-1 5-1 87 W
05/09 BFC Siofok
Hungary NB III
1-2 1-4 93 L
29/08 Budafoki MTE
Hungary NB III
1-2 1-3 14 L
26/08 PEAC FC
Hungary NB III
1-2 1-6 34 L
15/08 MTK Budapest II
Hungary NB III
1-0 1-0 –– W
12/08 Ivancsa
Hungary NB III
2-0 3-1 16 W
08/08 Kaposvari Rakoczi
Hungary NB III
0-4 0-7 –– L
25/07 Erdi VSE
Hungary NB III
1-1 3-3 –– D
24/05 Bicskei TC
Hungary NB III
1-0 1-0 –– W

Paksi SE II

DLDLLLDLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 Szekszardi
Hungary NB III
4-0 8-1 92 W
27/09 BFC Siofok
Hungary NB III
0-2 1-3 67 L
19/09 Budafoki MTE
Hungary NB III
1-1 1-2 55 L
05/09 PEAC FC
Hungary NB III
1-0 1-1 –– D
29/08 MTK Budapest II
Hungary NB III
1-2 2-4 53 L
26/08 Kaposvari Rakoczi
Hungary NB III
0-1 1-3 54 L
15/08 Ivancsa
Hungary NB III
0-1 0-2 –– L
12/08 Ferencvarosi TC II
Hungary NB III
1-2 2-2 –– D
08/08 Erdi VSE
Hungary NB III
0-3 1-3 –– L
26/07 Majosi SE
Hungary NB III
1-1 2-2 –– D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Budaorsi SC vs Paksi SE II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Budaorsi SC win (40%). Probabilities: Budaorsi SC 40%, draw 24%, Paksi SE II 36%.

How many goals are expected in Budaorsi SC vs Paksi SE II?

The model expects 3.73 goals (Budaorsi SC 1.92 · Paksi SE II 1.82), with a 58% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Budaorsi SC vs Paksi SE II?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.