Football · Hungary NB III · 07/11, 18:00

Prediction: Budaorsi SC vs Ferencvarosi TC II

Team pages: Budaorsi SC · Ferencvarosi TC II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.9Total

Budaorsi SC1.4

Ferencvarosi TC II2.5

1X2

20% 19% 61%

Budaorsi SC Draw Ferencvarosi TC II

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Budaorsi SC 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLWDDLLL

Ferencvarosi TC II 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWDLDWWWLW

Head-to-head

Budaorsi SC 1–0 Ferencvarosi TC II (1 last)

Ferencvarosi TC II0-2Budaorsi SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Budaorsi SC 1443 · Ferencvarosi TC II 1538

	Budaorsi SC	Draw	Ferencvarosi TC II
Our model	20%	20%	61%
Market	20%	19%	61%

Estimated total (ours) 3.9 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ferencvarosi TC II (rating 1443 vs 1538).
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Budaorsi SC	Ferencvarosi TC II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.9	2.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.4	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.6	3 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.3	2 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.50

X4.75

21.48

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.88

2 (-1.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.90

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 4.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 01:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.25 → 4.50▼	Bet365 4.50
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	1.40 → 1.48▲	Bet365 1.48

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.8%

Time*	1	X	2
14:27 +26’	5.25	4.75	1.40
01:08 +8’	4.50▼	4.75	1.48▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.5

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Budaorsi SC 1–0–0 Ferencvarosi TC II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/07/16 Club Friendly List	Ferencvarosi TC II	0-2 HT 0-1	Budaorsi SC

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Pecsi MFC	13	12	1	0	40	4	37
2	Kaposvari Rakoczi	13	9	1	3	37	17	28
3	Ivancsa	13	8	0	5	31	24	24
4	Ferencvarosi TC II	13	7	3	3	32	18	24
5	Majosi SE	13	7	3	3	30	27	24
6	Dunaharaszti MTK	13	6	2	5	24	22	20
7	Erdi VSE	13	5	4	4	29	28	19
8	MTK Budapest II	12	6	0	6	31	25	18
9	Budafoki MTE	13	5	3	5	24	22	18
10	BFC Siofok	13	5	2	6	22	18	17
11	PEAC FC	13	4	4	5	17	21	16
12	Paksi SE II	13	3	4	6	28	24	13
13	Budaorsi SC	13	3	3	7	20	40	12
14	Sarbogard SE	13	1	2	10	10	39	5
15	Szekszardi	13	0	0	13	6	52	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Budaorsi SC	Ferencvarosi TC II
Majosi SE	3-4 L	5-0 W
Sarbogard SE	1-1 D	1-0 W
Szekszardi	5-1 W	5-0 W
BFC Siofok	1-4 L	1-3 L
Budafoki MTE	1-3 L	3-1 W
PEAC FC	1-6 L	4-1 W
MTK Budapest II	1-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	6 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Ferencvarosi TC II (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Budaorsi SC

WLLLWDDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Majosi SE Hungary NB III	2-1	3-4	–	–	L
24/10	Pecsi MFC Hungary NB III	0-4	0-6	2	7	L
17/10	Dunaharaszti MTK Hungary NB III	0-1	0-3	4	7	L
10/10	Paksi SE II Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
26/09	Sarbogard SE Hungary NB III	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
19/09	Szekszardi Hungary NB III	2-1	5-1	8	7	W
05/09	BFC Siofok Hungary NB III	1-2	1-4	9	3	L
29/08	Budafoki MTE Hungary NB III	1-2	1-3	1	4	L
26/08	PEAC FC Hungary NB III	1-2	1-6	3	4	L
15/08	MTK Budapest II Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	–	–	W

Ferencvarosi TC II

WWDLDWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Szekszardi Hungary NB III	3-0	5-0	6	1	W
24/10	BFC Siofok Hungary NB III	0-1	1-3	10	2	L
17/10	Budafoki MTE Hungary NB III	1-0	3-1	7	2	W
10/10	PEAC FC Hungary NB III	0-0	4-1	3	2	W
03/10	MTK Budapest II Hungary NB III	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
26/09	Kaposvari Rakoczi Hungary NB III	0-2	2-2	–	–	D
19/09	Ivancsa Hungary NB III	1-0	2-3	–	–	L
05/09	Erdi VSE Hungary NB III	2-0	3-3	4	3	D
29/08	Sarbogard SE Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
26/08	Majosi SE Hungary NB III	1-0	5-0	6	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Budaorsi SC vs Ferencvarosi TC II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ferencvarosi TC II win (61%). Probabilities: Budaorsi SC 20%, draw 19%, Ferencvarosi TC II 61%.

How many goals are expected in Budaorsi SC vs Ferencvarosi TC II?

The model expects 3.9 goals (Budaorsi SC 1.4 · Ferencvarosi TC II 2.5), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Budaorsi SC vs Ferencvarosi TC II?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.