Football · Hungary NB III · 05/09, 16:00

Prediction: BFC Siofok vs Budaorsi SC

Team pages: BFC Siofok · Budaorsi SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.74Total

BFC Siofok2.17

Budaorsi SC1.57

1X2

50% 23% 27%

BFC Siofok Draw Budaorsi SC

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

BFC Siofok 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLWDLLWDDW

Budaorsi SC 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWDLWWLL

Head-to-head

BFC Siofok 2–1–3 Budaorsi SC (6 last)

Budaorsi SC1-2BFC Siofok
BFC Siofok1-1Budaorsi SC
Budaorsi SC3-0BFC Siofok
BFC Siofok2-1Budaorsi SC
Budaorsi SC3-2BFC Siofok
Budaorsi SC4-1BFC Siofok

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BFC Siofok 1543 · Budaorsi SC 1523

	BFC Siofok	Draw	Budaorsi SC
Our model	51%	22%	27%
Market	50%	24%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.74 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Budaorsi SC: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	BFC Siofok	Budaorsi SC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.2	2.5 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.9	1.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	44/11/44%	56/11/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.7	1.9 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.2	3.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.80

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:20 +46’	1.80	3.80	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BFC Siofok 2–1–3 Budaorsi SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/09/23 Hungary Cup	Budaorsi SC	1-2 HT 0-0	BFC Siofok
22/05/22 Hungary NB II	BFC Siofok	1-1 HT 1-1	Budaorsi SC
05/12/21 Hungary NB II	Budaorsi SC	3-0 HT 2-0	BFC Siofok
13/12/20 Hungary NB II	BFC Siofok	2-1 HT 0-0	Budaorsi SC
05/08/20 Hungary NB II	Budaorsi SC	3-2 HT 1-0	BFC Siofok
08/03/20 Hungary NB II	Budaorsi SC	4-1 HT 0-0	BFC Siofok

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Pecsi MFC	6	6	0	0	23	2	18
2	Kaposvari Rakoczi	5	5	0	0	19	4	15
3	Budafoki MTE	6	4	1	1	12	5	13
4	PEAC FC	5	4	0	1	11	5	12
5	Ferencvarosi TC II	5	3	1	1	10	5	10
6	MTK Budapest II	5	3	0	2	17	7	9
7	Ivancsa	6	3	0	3	11	13	9
8	BFC Siofok	6	2	2	2	8	7	8
9	Dunaharaszti MTK	6	2	1	3	8	11	7
10	Majosi SE	6	2	1	3	10	14	7
11	Budaorsi SC	6	2	1	3	9	20	7
12	Erdi VSE	5	1	2	2	10	10	5
13	Paksi SE II	6	0	2	4	8	16	2
14	Sarbogard SE	6	0	1	5	2	14	1
15	Dunaujvaros FC	1	0	0	1	0	3	0
16	Szekszardi	6	0	0	6	1	23	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BFC Siofok	Budaorsi SC
Budafoki MTE	0-0 D	1-3 L
MTK Budapest II	2-1 W	1-0 W
PEAC FC	1-2 L	1-6 L
Kaposvari Rakoczi	1-2 L	0-7 L
Erdi VSE	1-2 L	3-3 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: BFC Siofok (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BFC Siofok

WLWDLLWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Szekszardi Hungary NB III	2-0	3-1	6	7	W
26/08	Sarbogard SE Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
15/08	Budafoki MTE Hungary NB III	–	0-0	–	–	D
12/08	MTK Budapest II Hungary NB III	0-1	2-1	4	3	W
09/08	PEAC FC Hungary NB III	0-1	1-2	8	8	L
25/07	Kaposvari Rakoczi Hungary NB III	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
24/05	PEAC FC Hungary NB III	1-1	1-1	4	1	D
17/05	Dombovari FC Hungary NB III	3-1	5-1	–	–	W
10/05	Erdi VSE Hungary NB III	0-1	1-2	5	8	L
03/05	Paksi SE II Hungary NB III	2-1	3-1	1	4	W

Budaorsi SC

WWWWDLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Budafoki MTE Hungary NB III	1-2	1-3	1	4	L
26/08	PEAC FC Hungary NB III	1-2	1-6	3	4	L
15/08	MTK Budapest II Hungary NB III	–	1-0	–	–	W
12/08	Ivancsa Hungary NB III	2-0	3-1	1	6	W
08/08	Kaposvari Rakoczi Hungary NB III	0-4	0-7	–	–	L
25/07	Erdi VSE Hungary NB III	1-1	3-3	2	7	D
24/05	Bicskei TC Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
17/05	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	1-0	5-1	8	3	W
10/05	Papai Perutz Hungary NB III	2-0	2-0	10	1	W
03/05	Zsambeki SK Hungary NB III	5-0	8-0	7	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BFC Siofok vs Budaorsi SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a BFC Siofok win (50%). Probabilities: BFC Siofok 50%, draw 23%, Budaorsi SC 27%.

How many goals are expected in BFC Siofok vs Budaorsi SC?

The model expects 3.74 goals (BFC Siofok 2.17 · Budaorsi SC 1.57), with a 58% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in BFC Siofok vs Budaorsi SC?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.