Football · Hungary NB III · 10/10, 13:00

Prediction: III Keruleti TUE vs Szolnoki Mav FC

Team pages: III Keruleti TUE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

III Keruleti TUE2.17

Szolnoki Mav FC0.99

1X2

64% 21% 15%

III Keruleti TUE Draw Szolnoki Mav FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

III Keruleti TUE 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWWWL

Szolnoki Mav FC 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDWLDDWDLL

Head-to-head

III Keruleti TUE 0–1–1 Szolnoki Mav FC (2 last)

Szolnoki Mav FC1-0III Keruleti TUE
III Keruleti TUE0-0Szolnoki Mav FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · III Keruleti TUE 1563 · Szolnoki Mav FC 1509

	III Keruleti TUE	Draw	Szolnoki Mav FC
Our model	63%	21%	15%
Market	64%	21%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours III Keruleti TUE (rating 1563 vs 1509).
Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	III Keruleti TUE	Szolnoki Mav FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.4	2.3 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.2	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 3.9	3.5 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	5.5 / 1

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.33

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.90

2 (+1.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
06:07 +3’	1.40	4.33	5.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · III Keruleti TUE 0–1–1 Szolnoki Mav FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/22 Hungary NB II	Szolnoki Mav FC	1-0 HT 1-0	III Keruleti TUE
07/11/21 Hungary NB II	III Keruleti TUE	0-0 HT 0-0	Szolnoki Mav FC

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gyulai Termal	10	10	0	0	37	8	30
2	III Keruleti TUE	9	8	0	1	15	3	24
3	ESMTK	10	6	3	1	27	10	21
4	Ujpest II	10	5	3	2	27	16	18
5	Vasas SC II	10	5	2	3	23	11	17
6	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	9	4	3	2	18	13	15
7	Monori SE	10	3	5	2	21	17	14
8	Csepel	9	3	4	2	20	15	13
9	Szolnoki Mav FC	10	3	4	3	23	24	13
10	FC Dabas	9	3	1	5	12	24	10
11	Bekescsabai Elore SE	10	2	4	4	14	15	10
12	Kispest Honved II	9	2	2	5	17	15	8
13	Sandorfalvi SK	10	2	1	7	7	28	7
14	Hodmezovasarhelyi	9	1	3	5	10	21	6
15	BKV Elore SC	10	1	1	8	7	36	4
16	Szegedi VSE	10	0	2	8	12	34	2

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	III Keruleti TUE	Szolnoki Mav FC
Kispest Honved II	0-1 L	1-0 W
Szegedi VSE	1-0 W	3-3 D
FC Dabas	1-0 W	2-2 D
Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	1-0 W	0-5 L
Vasas SC II	0-3 L	2-2 D
Bekescsabai Elore SE	2-0 W	2-0 W
Sandorfalvi SK	3-0 W	5-2 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: III Keruleti TUE (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

III Keruleti TUE

WWWWWLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	1	8	L
26/09	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
20/09	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
05/09	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	8	2	W
30/08	Vasas SC II Hungary NB III	0-2	0-3	6	3	L
26/08	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
15/08	Sandorfalvi SK Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
12/08	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
09/08	BKV Elore SC Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	2	4	W
25/07	Csepel Hungary NB III	0-0	2-0	–	–	W

Szolnoki Mav FC

WDWLDDWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Gyulai Termal Hungary NB III	1-2	3-4	–	–	L
26/09	Ujpest II Hungary NB III	0-0	1-2	5	7	L
19/09	Monori SE Hungary NB III	2-1	4-4	–	–	D
05/09	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
29/08	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	2-0	3-3	6	6	D
26/08	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
16/08	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	0-1	0-5	–	–	L
12/08	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
08/08	Vasas SC II Hungary NB III	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
25/07	Sandorfalvi SK Hungary NB III	2-1	5-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in III Keruleti TUE vs Szolnoki Mav FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a III Keruleti TUE win (64%). Probabilities: III Keruleti TUE 64%, draw 21%, Szolnoki Mav FC 15%.

How many goals are expected in III Keruleti TUE vs Szolnoki Mav FC?

The model expects 3.16 goals (III Keruleti TUE 2.17 · Szolnoki Mav FC 0.99), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in III Keruleti TUE vs Szolnoki Mav FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.