Football · Hungary NB III · 07/11, 13:00

Prediction: Monori SE vs Szeged-Csanad Grosics II

Team pages: Monori SE · Szeged-Csanad Grosics II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.27Total

Monori SE2.23

Szeged-Csanad Grosics II1.04

1X2

64% 20% 16%

Monori SE Draw Szeged-Csanad Grosics II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Monori SE 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WWDWDDLLDW

Szeged-Csanad Grosics II 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

WDLLDDDDWW

Head-to-head

Monori SE 2–1–0 Szeged-Csanad Grosics II (3 last)

Monori SE2-0Szeged-Csanad Grosics II
Szeged-Csanad Grosics II1-3Monori SE
Szeged-Csanad Grosics II1-1Monori SE

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Monori SE 1509 · Szeged-Csanad Grosics II 1512

	Monori SE	Draw	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II
Our model	63%	21%	16%
Market	64%	20%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.27 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Monori SE: 2-1-0.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Monori SE	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.9	1.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.1	3.2 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.3	4.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.50

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.85

2 (+1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
02:22 +5’	1.40	4.50	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Monori SE 2–1–0 Szeged-Csanad Grosics II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Hungary NB III	Monori SE	2-0 HT 2-0	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II
20/09/25 Hungary NB III	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	1-3 HT 0-1	Monori SE
30/08/23 Hungary NB III	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	1-1 HT 1-0	Monori SE

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gyulai Termal	14	13	1	0	45	11	40
2	ESMTK	14	9	4	1	36	14	31
3	III Keruleti TUE	14	8	2	4	17	8	26
4	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	14	6	6	2	27	19	24
5	Ujpest II	14	6	4	4	31	20	22
6	Vasas SC II	14	5	5	4	29	18	20
7	Csepel	14	5	5	4	27	22	20
8	FC Dabas	14	5	3	6	20	31	18
9	Monori SE	14	4	6	4	25	25	18
10	Kispest Honved II	14	4	3	7	26	24	15
11	Bekescsabai Elore SE	14	3	5	6	20	21	14
12	Szolnoki Mav FC	14	3	5	6	29	33	14
13	Sandorfalvi SK	14	3	3	8	9	31	12
14	Hodmezovasarhelyi	14	2	6	6	17	28	12
15	Szegedi VSE	14	2	4	8	19	38	10
16	BKV Elore SC	14	2	2	10	15	49	8

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Monori SE	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II
III Keruleti TUE	2-1 W	0-1 L
Gyulai Termal	1-4 L	0-4 L
Bekescsabai Elore SE	0-2 L	2-1 W
Ujpest II	2-2 D	2-2 D
Szolnoki Mav FC	4-4 D	5-0 W
BKV Elore SC	3-1 W	1-1 D
Hodmezovasarhelyi	4-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Monori SE (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Monori SE

WWDWDDLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	III Keruleti TUE Hungary NB III	1-1	2-1	5	5	W
24/10	Vasas SC II Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	4	7	D
17/10	Gyulai Termal Hungary NB III	1-1	1-4	6	5	L
10/10	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB III	0-0	0-2	7	3	L
03/10	Ujpest II Hungary NB III	0-1	2-2	4	3	D
19/09	Szolnoki Mav FC Hungary NB III	1-2	4-4	–	–	D
05/09	BKV Elore SC Hungary NB III	0-1	3-1	7	5	W
30/08	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
26/08	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	1-0	4-1	5	5	W
15/08	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	0-2	3-2	–	–	W

Szeged-Csanad Grosics II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB III	2-0	2-1	5	9	W
18/10	Sandorfalvi SK Hungary NB III	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
11/10	BKV Elore SC Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	12	6	D
04/10	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
26/09	Csepel Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
20/09	ESMTK Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	III Keruleti TUE Hungary NB III	0-1	0-1	5	2	L
30/08	Gyulai Termal Hungary NB III	0-2	0-4	1	4	L
26/08	Ujpest II Hungary NB III	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
16/08	Szolnoki Mav FC Hungary NB III	1-0	5-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Monori SE vs Szeged-Csanad Grosics II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Monori SE win (64%). Probabilities: Monori SE 64%, draw 20%, Szeged-Csanad Grosics II 16%.

How many goals are expected in Monori SE vs Szeged-Csanad Grosics II?

The model expects 3.27 goals (Monori SE 2.23 · Szeged-Csanad Grosics II 1.04), with a 55% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Monori SE vs Szeged-Csanad Grosics II?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.