Football · Hungary NB III · 10/10, 11:00

Prediction: Gyulai Termal vs Ujpest II

Team pages: Gyulai Termal · Ujpest II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.04Total

Gyulai Termal2.66

Ujpest II1.37

1X2

64% 19% 17%

Gyulai Termal Draw Ujpest II

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Gyulai Termal 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Ujpest II 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDLWDWWLWD

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gyulai Termal 1613 · Ujpest II 1538

	Gyulai Termal	Draw	Ujpest II
Our model	64%	18%	17%
Market	64%	19%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 4.04 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gyulai Termal (rating 1613 vs 1538).
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gyulai Termal	Ujpest II
Goals for / against (FT)	3.7 / 0.8	2.7 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.8 / 0.4	1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	90/0/10%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 6.4	2.5 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.8	4.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.75

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.98

2 (+1.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.88

Under 3.51.93

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 4.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
05:55 +7’	1.40	4.75	5.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gyulai Termal	10	10	0	0	37	8	30
2	III Keruleti TUE	9	8	0	1	15	3	24
3	ESMTK	10	6	3	1	27	10	21
4	Ujpest II	10	5	3	2	27	16	18
5	Vasas SC II	10	5	2	3	23	11	17
6	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	9	4	3	2	18	13	15
7	Monori SE	10	3	5	2	21	17	14
8	Csepel	9	3	4	2	20	15	13
9	Szolnoki Mav FC	10	3	4	3	23	24	13
10	FC Dabas	9	3	1	5	12	24	10
11	Bekescsabai Elore SE	10	2	4	4	14	15	10
12	Kispest Honved II	9	2	2	5	17	15	8
13	Sandorfalvi SK	10	2	1	7	7	28	7
14	Hodmezovasarhelyi	9	1	3	5	10	21	6
15	BKV Elore SC	10	1	1	8	7	36	4
16	Szegedi VSE	10	0	2	8	12	34	2

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gyulai Termal	Ujpest II
Szolnoki Mav FC	4-3 W	2-1 W
Kispest Honved II	3-2 W	0-3 L
Szegedi VSE	4-1 W	6-1 W
FC Dabas	5-0 W	2-1 W
Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	4-0 W	2-2 D
Vasas SC II	1-0 W	5-3 W
Bekescsabai Elore SE	2-0 W	2-2 D
BKV Elore SC	4-2 W	6-0 W
Sandorfalvi SK	7-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	9 W 0 D 0 L	5 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Gyulai Termal (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gyulai Termal

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Szolnoki Mav FC Hungary NB III	2-1	4-3	–	–	W
26/09	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	1-2	3-2	11	10	W
19/09	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	2-0	4-1	–	–	W
05/09	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	2-0	5-0	6	4	W
30/08	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	2-0	4-0	1	4	W
26/08	Vasas SC II Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
15/08	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
12/08	BKV Elore SC Hungary NB III	2-1	4-2	10	5	W
08/08	Sandorfalvi SK Hungary NB III	3-0	7-0	4	2	W
25/07	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	2-0	3-0	–	–	W

Ujpest II

WDLWDWWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Monori SE Hungary NB III	1-0	2-2	5	3	D
26/09	Szolnoki Mav FC Hungary NB III	0-0	2-1	9	7	W
20/09	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	0-2	0-3	4	4	L
06/09	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	3-1	6-1	4	3	W
30/08	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	2-1	2-1	5	4	W
26/08	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
16/08	Vasas SC II Hungary NB III	1-2	5-3	–	–	W
12/08	Sandorfalvi SK Hungary NB III	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
08/08	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB III	1-0	2-2	5	7	D
26/07	BKV Elore SC Hungary NB III	2-0	6-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gyulai Termal vs Ujpest II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gyulai Termal win (64%). Probabilities: Gyulai Termal 64%, draw 19%, Ujpest II 17%.

How many goals are expected in Gyulai Termal vs Ujpest II?

The model expects 4.04 goals (Gyulai Termal 2.66 · Ujpest II 1.37), with a 54% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Gyulai Termal vs Ujpest II?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.