Football · Hungary NB III · 10/10, 13:00

Prediction: Monori SE vs Bekescsabai Elore SE

Team pages: Monori SE · Bekescsabai Elore SE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

Monori SE1.79

Bekescsabai Elore SE1.37

1X2

47% 24% 29%

Monori SE Draw Bekescsabai Elore SE

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Monori SE 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LLDLWWDWDD

Bekescsabai Elore SE 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DDLLLDDWWL

Head-to-head

Monori SE 0–1–2 Bekescsabai Elore SE (3 last)

Monori SE0-2Bekescsabai Elore SE
Monori SE2-2Bekescsabai Elore SE
Bekescsabai Elore SE2-1Monori SE

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Monori SE 1502 · Bekescsabai Elore SE 1476

	Monori SE	Draw	Bekescsabai Elore SE
Our model	46%	25%	28%
Market	47%	24%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Bekescsabai Elore SE: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Monori SE	Bekescsabai Elore SE
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.9	1.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.2	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/20/70%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.5	2.8 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.3	3.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.75

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
05:35 +35’	1.91	3.75	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Monori SE 0–1–2 Bekescsabai Elore SE

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/08/23 Hungary NB III	Monori SE	0-2 HT 0-1	Bekescsabai Elore SE
17/02/19 Hungary NB II	Monori SE	2-2 HT 1-1	Bekescsabai Elore SE
26/08/18 Hungary NB II	Bekescsabai Elore SE	2-1 HT 1-0	Monori SE

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gyulai Termal	10	10	0	0	37	8	30
2	III Keruleti TUE	10	8	0	2	15	4	24
3	ESMTK	10	6	3	1	27	10	21
4	Ujpest II	10	5	3	2	27	16	18
5	Vasas SC II	10	5	2	3	23	11	17
6	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	10	4	4	2	19	14	16
7	Monori SE	10	3	5	2	21	17	14
8	FC Dabas	10	4	1	5	13	24	13
9	Csepel	10	3	4	3	20	16	13
10	Szolnoki Mav FC	10	3	4	3	23	24	13
11	Kispest Honved II	10	3	2	5	18	15	11
12	Bekescsabai Elore SE	10	2	4	4	14	15	10
13	Sandorfalvi SK	10	2	1	7	7	28	7
14	Hodmezovasarhelyi	10	1	4	5	11	22	7
15	BKV Elore SC	10	1	1	8	7	36	4
16	Szegedi VSE	10	0	2	8	12	34	2

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Monori SE	Bekescsabai Elore SE
Ujpest II	2-2 D	2-2 D
Szolnoki Mav FC	4-4 D	0-2 L
BKV Elore SC	3-1 W	4-0 W
Kispest Honved II	1-1 D	0-0 D
Hodmezovasarhelyi	4-1 W	3-1 W
Csepel	0-0 D	2-2 D
ESMTK	1-2 L	3-3 D
Record vs common	2 W 4 D 1 L	2 W 4 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Monori SE

LLDLWWDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Ujpest II Hungary NB III	0-1	2-2	4	3	D
19/09	Szolnoki Mav FC Hungary NB III	1-2	4-4	–	–	D
05/09	BKV Elore SC Hungary NB III	0-1	3-1	7	5	W
30/08	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
26/08	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	1-0	4-1	5	5	W
15/08	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	0-2	3-2	–	–	W
12/08	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	1-2	2-3	3	6	L
08/08	Csepel Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
26/07	ESMTK Hungary NB III	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
07/06	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB III	1-2	1-3	5	8	L

Bekescsabai Elore SE

DDLLLDDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Sandorfalvi SK Hungary NB III	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
27/09	BKV Elore SC Hungary NB III	1-0	4-0	8	2	W
19/09	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	1-0	3-1	7	4	W
05/09	Csepel Hungary NB III	1-2	2-2	2	0	D
29/08	ESMTK Hungary NB III	1-1	3-3	–	–	D
26/08	III Keruleti TUE Hungary NB III	0-1	0-2	8	5	L
15/08	Gyulai Termal Hungary NB III	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
12/08	Szolnoki Mav FC Hungary NB III	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
08/08	Ujpest II Hungary NB III	0-1	2-2	2	7	D
26/07	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	7	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Monori SE vs Bekescsabai Elore SE?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Monori SE win (47%). Probabilities: Monori SE 47%, draw 24%, Bekescsabai Elore SE 29%.

How many goals are expected in Monori SE vs Bekescsabai Elore SE?

The model expects 3.16 goals (Monori SE 1.79 · Bekescsabai Elore SE 1.37), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Monori SE vs Bekescsabai Elore SE?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.