Football · Hungary NB III · 07/11, 13:00

Prediction: Csepel vs Gyulai Termal

Team pages: Csepel · Gyulai Termal

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.65Total

Csepel1.37

Gyulai Termal2.27

1X2

22% 21% 57%

Csepel Draw Gyulai Termal

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Csepel 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWDLDLDWWL

Gyulai Termal 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWD

Head-to-head

Csepel 1–2 Gyulai Termal (3 last)

Csepel1-4Gyulai Termal
Gyulai Termal0-1Csepel
Csepel1-4Gyulai Termal

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Csepel 1499 · Gyulai Termal 1602

	Csepel	Draw	Gyulai Termal
Our model	22%	21%	57%
Market	22%	21%	57%

Estimated total (ours) 3.65 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gyulai Termal (rating 1499 vs 1602).
H2H favours Gyulai Termal: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Csepel	Gyulai Termal
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.8	2.9 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.9	1.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.8	1.9 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	4.1 / 0.9

Odds Bet365

14.10

X4.20

21.57

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.90

2 (-1)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
14:22 +10’	4.10	4.20	1.57

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Csepel 1–0–2 Gyulai Termal

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Hungary NB III	Csepel	1-4 HT 1-2	Gyulai Termal
02/11/25 Hungary NB III	Gyulai Termal	0-1 HT 0-1	Csepel
20/04/25 Hungary NB III	Csepel	1-4 HT 1-2	Gyulai Termal

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gyulai Termal	14	13	1	0	45	11	40
2	ESMTK	14	9	4	1	36	14	31
3	III Keruleti TUE	14	8	2	4	17	8	26
4	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	14	6	6	2	27	19	24
5	Ujpest II	14	6	4	4	31	20	22
6	Vasas SC II	14	5	5	4	29	18	20
7	Csepel	14	5	5	4	27	22	20
8	FC Dabas	14	5	3	6	20	31	18
9	Monori SE	14	4	6	4	25	25	18
10	Kispest Honved II	14	4	3	7	26	24	15
11	Bekescsabai Elore SE	14	3	5	6	20	21	14
12	Szolnoki Mav FC	14	3	5	6	29	33	14
13	Sandorfalvi SK	14	3	3	8	9	31	12
14	Hodmezovasarhelyi	14	2	6	6	17	28	12
15	Szegedi VSE	14	2	4	8	19	38	10
16	BKV Elore SC	14	2	2	10	15	49	8

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Csepel	Gyulai Termal
Ujpest II	0-2 L	2-1 W
Szolnoki Mav FC	3-2 W	4-3 W
Kispest Honved II	3-1 W	3-2 W
Szegedi VSE	1-1 D	4-1 W
FC Dabas	0-1 L	5-0 W
Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	1-1 D	4-0 W
Vasas SC II	0-6 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	7 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Gyulai Termal (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Csepel

WWDLDLDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Ujpest II Hungary NB III	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
24/10	Szolnoki Mav FC Hungary NB III	2-2	3-2	6	5	W
18/10	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	1-1	3-1	3	3	W
10/10	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	8	5	D
04/10	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
26/09	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
20/09	Vasas SC II Hungary NB III	0-3	0-6	3	4	L
05/09	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB III	2-1	2-2	0	0	D
29/08	Sandorfalvi SK Hungary NB III	3-0	5-1	–	–	W
26/08	BKV Elore SC Hungary NB III	3-0	9-1	3	5	W

Gyulai Termal

WWWWWWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	ESMTK Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	7	5	D
24/10	III Keruleti TUE Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
17/10	Monori SE Hungary NB III	1-1	4-1	2	5	W
10/10	Ujpest II Hungary NB III	0-0	2-1	1	4	W
03/10	Szolnoki Mav FC Hungary NB III	2-1	4-3	–	–	W
26/09	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	1-2	3-2	11	10	W
19/09	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	2-0	4-1	–	–	W
05/09	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	2-0	5-0	6	4	W
30/08	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	2-0	4-0	1	4	W
26/08	Vasas SC II Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Csepel vs Gyulai Termal?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Gyulai Termal win (57%). Probabilities: Csepel 22%, draw 21%, Gyulai Termal 57%.

How many goals are expected in Csepel vs Gyulai Termal?

The model expects 3.65 goals (Csepel 1.37 · Gyulai Termal 2.27), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Csepel vs Gyulai Termal?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.